La Liga·Etapa 15·
La Liga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
22%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,923,16sigur0,27–2,211,06–2,771,33–4,98mai sigur0,02–2,460,83–3,000,85–5,46
Șuturi pe poartă
31%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,425,499,91sigur2,56–6,293,75–7,236,31–13,52mai sigur2,07–6,783,28–7,705,35–14,47
Total șuturi
43%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6014,0827,68sigur9,67–17,5210,52–17,6520,19–35,17mai sigur8,58–18,619,56–18,6118,14–37,22
Șuturi din careu
31%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4210,0618,48sigur5,47–11,367,38–12,7412,85–24,10mai sigur4,64–12,196,64–13,4811,29–25,67
Șuturi blocate
46%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,013,757,76sigur2,13–5,892,10–5,404,23–11,30mai sigur1,59–6,441,61–5,903,19–12,33
Cornere
50%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,534,9910,51sigur3,32–7,742,99–6,996,30–14,73mai sigur2,74–8,322,45–7,525,19–15,84
Posesie %
35%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,2152,95sigur40,41–54,0046,16–59,73mai sigur38,75–55,6744,49–61,40
Pase
34%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție465513977sigur398–532446–579844–1111mai sigur379–550429–597808–1147
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,0775,46sigur66,04–74,1071,14–79,79mai sigur64,75–75,3969,83–81,10
Faulturi
65%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6910,3223,02sigur9,86–15,537,38–13,2717,23–28,80mai sigur9,10–16,296,63–14,0215,73–30,30
Ofsaiduri
16%
15%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,593,184,76sigur0,43–2,752,08–4,272,51–7,02mai sigur0,13–3,051,79–4,561,92–7,61
Cartonașe galbene
50%
19%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,431,904,33sigur1,38–3,480,77–3,032,16–6,51mai sigur1,12–3,750,48–3,321,60–7,07
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,070,19sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,250,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,390,00–0,82
Parade portar
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,703,186,88sigur2,27–5,141,62–4,743,89–9,87mai sigur1,88–5,531,20–5,163,08–10,69
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,21 0,02–2,46 | 1,92 1,06–2,77 0,83–3,00 | 3,16 1,33–4,98 0,85–5,46 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,42 2,56–6,29 2,07–6,78 | 5,49 3,75–7,23 3,28–7,70 | 9,91 6,31–13,52 5,35–14,47 | 31% 57% |
| Total șuturi | 13,60 9,67–17,52 8,58–18,61 | 14,08 10,52–17,65 9,56–18,61 | 27,68 20,19–35,17 18,14–37,22 | 43% 50% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,42 5,47–11,36 4,64–12,19 | 10,06 7,38–12,74 6,64–13,48 | 18,48 12,85–24,10 11,29–25,67 | 31% 60% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,01 2,13–5,89 1,59–6,44 | 3,75 2,10–5,40 1,61–5,90 | 7,76 4,23–11,30 3,19–12,33 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,53 3,32–7,74 2,74–8,32 | 4,99 2,99–6,99 2,45–7,52 | 10,51 6,30–14,73 5,19–15,84 | 50% 37% |
| Posesie % | 47,21 40,41–54,00 38,75–55,67 | 52,95 46,16–59,73 44,49–61,40 | — | 35% 61% |
| Pase | 465 398–532 379–550 | 513 446–579 429–597 | 977 844–1111 808–1147 | 34% 65% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,07 66,04–74,10 64,75–75,39 | 75,46 71,14–79,79 69,83–81,10 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 12,69 9,86–15,53 9,10–16,29 | 10,32 7,38–13,27 6,63–14,02 | 23,02 17,23–28,80 15,73–30,30 | 65% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 3,18 2,08–4,27 1,79–4,56 | 4,76 2,51–7,02 1,92–7,61 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,43 1,38–3,48 1,12–3,75 | 1,90 0,77–3,03 0,48–3,32 | 4,33 2,16–6,51 1,60–7,07 | 50% 19% 31% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,07 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,39 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,70 2,27–5,14 1,88–5,53 | 3,18 1,62–4,74 1,20–5,16 | 6,88 3,89–9,87 3,08–10,69 | 50% 15% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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