La Liga·Etapa 15·
La Liga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
23%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,012,77sigur0,79–2,730,16–1,870,95–4,60mai sigur0,54–2,980,00–2,100,47–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,713,709,41sigur3,85–7,571,96–5,455,81–13,02mai sigur3,36–8,061,50–5,914,85–13,97
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0310,0726,10sigur12,11–19,966,51–13,6318,61–33,59mai sigur11,02–21,055,55–14,5916,56–35,64
Șuturi din careu
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,596,2617,85sigur8,65–14,543,58–8,9412,23–23,48mai sigur7,82–15,372,84–9,6810,66–25,04
Șuturi blocate
60%
14%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,293,077,36sigur2,41–6,171,42–4,733,83–10,90mai sigur1,87–6,720,93–5,222,79–11,93
Cornere
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,133,9310,06sigur3,92–8,341,93–5,935,84–14,27mai sigur3,34–8,921,39–6,464,74–15,38
Posesie %
51%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,8349,28sigur44,04–57,6242,49–56,06mai sigur42,37–59,2940,82–57,73
Pase
59%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție514485999sigur446–581419–552865–1133mai sigur428–599401–569830–1168
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,0174,06sigur69,98–78,0469,73–78,38mai sigur68,69–79,3368,42–79,69
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4210,2121,62sigur8,58–14,257,26–13,1515,84–27,41mai sigur7,82–15,016,51–13,9014,34–28,91
Ofsaiduri
72%
14%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,061,354,41sigur1,90–4,220,25–2,442,16–6,66mai sigur1,60–4,530,00–2,731,57–7,25
Cartonașe galbene
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,913,82sigur0,85–2,950,79–3,041,64–6,00mai sigur0,59–3,220,49–3,331,08–6,55
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
22%
14%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,463,896,35sigur1,02–3,892,34–5,453,36–9,34mai sigur0,63–4,281,91–5,882,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,79–2,73 0,54–2,98 | 1,01 0,16–1,87 0,00–2,10 | 2,77 0,95–4,60 0,47–5,08 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,71 3,85–7,57 3,36–8,06 | 3,70 1,96–5,45 1,50–5,91 | 9,41 5,81–13,02 4,85–13,97 | 69% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 16,03 12,11–19,96 11,02–21,05 | 10,07 6,51–13,63 5,55–14,59 | 26,10 18,61–33,59 16,56–35,64 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,59 8,65–14,54 7,82–15,37 | 6,26 3,58–8,94 2,84–9,68 | 17,85 12,23–23,48 10,66–25,04 | 88% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,29 2,41–6,17 1,87–6,72 | 3,07 1,42–4,73 0,93–5,22 | 7,36 3,83–10,90 2,79–11,93 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,13 3,92–8,34 3,34–8,92 | 3,93 1,93–5,93 1,39–6,46 | 10,06 5,84–14,27 4,74–15,38 | 70% 19% |
| Posesie % | 50,83 44,04–57,62 42,37–59,29 | 49,28 42,49–56,06 40,82–57,73 | — | 51% 44% |
| Pase | 514 446–581 428–599 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 999 865–1133 830–1168 | 59% 40% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,01 69,98–78,04 68,69–79,33 | 74,06 69,73–78,38 68,42–79,69 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 11,42 8,58–14,25 7,82–15,01 | 10,21 7,26–13,15 6,51–13,90 | 21,62 15,84–27,41 14,34–28,91 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,06 1,90–4,22 1,60–4,53 | 1,35 0,25–2,44 0,00–2,73 | 4,41 2,16–6,66 1,57–7,25 | 72% 14% 14% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,59–3,22 | 1,91 0,79–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,82 1,64–6,00 1,08–6,55 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,46 1,02–3,89 0,63–4,28 | 3,89 2,34–5,45 1,91–5,88 | 6,35 3,36–9,34 2,55–10,16 | 22% 14% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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