La Liga·Etapa 15·
La Liga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,452,79sigur0,37–2,310,59–2,300,97–4,61mai sigur0,12–2,560,37–2,530,49–5,09
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
13%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,224,929,14sigur2,36–6,083,18–6,665,54–12,75mai sigur1,87–6,572,71–7,134,58–13,70
Total șuturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8014,3626,17sigur7,88–15,7310,80–17,9318,68–33,65mai sigur6,79–16,829,84–18,8816,63–35,71
Șuturi din careu
31%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,709,2616,96sigur4,76–10,646,58–11,9411,33–22,58mai sigur3,93–11,475,84–12,689,77–24,15
Șuturi blocate
35%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,293,797,08sigur1,40–5,172,14–5,453,54–10,61mai sigur0,86–5,711,65–5,942,51–11,65
Cornere
38%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,795,2710,06sigur2,57–7,003,27–7,275,85–14,27mai sigur2,00–7,582,74–7,814,74–15,38
Posesie %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3852,43sigur41,59–55,1745,65–59,22mai sigur39,92–56,8443,98–60,89
Pase
47%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție471479949sigur404–538412–545816–1083mai sigur385–556395–563780–1119
Precizie pase %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6974,69sigur63,66–71,7270,36–79,01mai sigur62,37–73,0169,05–80,32
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7612,9525,71sigur9,92–15,6010,00–15,8919,92–31,49mai sigur9,17–16,359,25–16,6418,42–32,99
Ofsaiduri
23%
18%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,582,574,14sigur0,42–2,741,47–3,661,89–6,39mai sigur0,11–3,041,18–3,951,30–6,98
Cartonașe galbene
41%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,212,174,38sigur1,16–3,251,04–3,302,20–6,56mai sigur0,89–3,520,75–3,591,64–7,11
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,212,896,11sigur1,78–4,651,34–4,453,12–9,10mai sigur1,39–5,040,91–4,882,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,45 0,59–2,30 0,37–2,53 | 2,79 0,97–4,61 0,49–5,09 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,22 2,36–6,08 1,87–6,57 | 4,92 3,18–6,66 2,71–7,13 | 9,14 5,54–12,75 4,58–13,70 | 34% 13% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 11,80 7,88–15,73 6,79–16,82 | 14,36 10,80–17,93 9,84–18,88 | 26,17 18,68–33,65 16,63–35,71 | 27% 66% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,70 4,76–10,64 3,93–11,47 | 9,26 6,58–11,94 5,84–12,68 | 16,96 11,33–22,58 9,77–24,15 | 31% 60% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,29 1,40–5,17 0,86–5,71 | 3,79 2,14–5,45 1,65–5,94 | 7,08 3,54–10,61 2,51–11,65 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Cornere | 4,79 2,57–7,00 2,00–7,58 | 5,27 3,27–7,27 2,74–7,81 | 10,06 5,85–14,27 4,74–15,38 | 38% 50% |
| Posesie % | 48,38 41,59–55,17 39,92–56,84 | 52,43 45,65–59,22 43,98–60,89 | — | 38% 57% |
| Pase | 471 404–538 385–556 | 479 412–545 395–563 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 47% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,69 63,66–71,72 62,37–73,01 | 74,69 70,36–79,01 69,05–80,32 | — | 17% 80% |
| Faulturi | 12,76 9,92–15,60 9,17–16,35 | 12,95 10,00–15,89 9,25–16,64 | 25,71 19,92–31,49 18,42–32,99 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,58 0,42–2,74 0,11–3,04 | 2,57 1,47–3,66 1,18–3,95 | 4,14 1,89–6,39 1,30–6,98 | 23% 18% 59% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,21 1,16–3,25 0,89–3,52 | 2,17 1,04–3,30 0,75–3,59 | 4,38 2,20–6,56 1,64–7,11 | 41% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,21 1,78–4,65 1,39–5,04 | 2,89 1,34–4,45 0,91–4,88 | 6,11 3,12–9,10 2,30–9,91 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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