La Liga·Etapa 15·
La Liga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
24%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,132,85sigur0,75–2,690,28–1,991,03–4,67mai sigur0,50–2,940,05–2,220,55–5,15
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,473,999,47sigur3,61–7,342,25–5,735,86–13,07mai sigur3,12–7,831,78–6,204,90–14,03
Total șuturi
77%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,3011,8228,12sigur12,38–20,238,26–15,3920,64–35,61mai sigur11,29–21,327,30–16,3418,59–37,66
Șuturi din careu
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,457,7718,22sigur7,51–13,405,09–10,4512,60–23,85mai sigur6,68–14,234,35–11,1911,03–25,41
Șuturi blocate
63%
13%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,413,027,42sigur2,53–6,291,36–4,673,89–10,96mai sigur1,98–6,830,87–5,162,85–11,99
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,054,5410,59sigur3,84–8,272,54–6,546,38–14,80mai sigur3,27–8,842,01–7,075,27–15,91
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,5544,50sigur48,76–62,3437,71–51,28mai sigur47,09–64,0136,04–52,95
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție504395899sigur437–571328–461765–1032mai sigur418–589311–479729–1068
Precizie pase %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,1968,85sigur67,16–75,2264,53–73,18mai sigur65,87–76,5163,22–74,49
Faulturi
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2411,5723,81sigur9,41–15,088,62–14,5118,03–29,59mai sigur8,65–15,847,87–15,2616,52–31,10
Ofsaiduri
49%
21%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,181,683,86sigur1,02–3,340,59–2,771,60–6,11mai sigur0,72–3,640,30–3,061,01–6,70
Cartonașe galbene
42%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,903,93sigur0,98–3,080,77–3,031,75–6,11mai sigur0,71–3,350,48–3,321,20–6,67
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
28%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,656,38sigur1,29–4,162,10–5,213,39–9,37mai sigur0,90–4,551,67–5,632,58–10,19
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,72 0,75–2,69 0,50–2,94 | 1,13 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,22 | 2,85 1,03–4,67 0,55–5,15 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,47 3,61–7,34 3,12–7,83 | 3,99 2,25–5,73 1,78–6,20 | 9,47 5,86–13,07 4,90–14,03 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 16,30 12,38–20,23 11,29–21,32 | 11,82 8,26–15,39 7,30–16,34 | 28,12 20,64–35,61 18,59–37,66 | 77% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,45 7,51–13,40 6,68–14,23 | 7,77 5,09–10,45 4,35–11,19 | 18,22 12,60–23,85 11,03–25,41 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,41 2,53–6,29 1,98–6,83 | 3,02 1,36–4,67 0,87–5,16 | 7,42 3,89–10,96 2,85–11,99 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,05 3,84–8,27 3,27–8,84 | 4,54 2,54–6,54 2,01–7,07 | 10,59 6,38–14,80 5,27–15,91 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 55,55 48,76–62,34 47,09–64,01 | 44,50 37,71–51,28 36,04–52,95 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 504 437–571 418–589 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,19 67,16–75,22 65,87–76,51 | 68,85 64,53–73,18 63,22–74,49 | — | 59% 36% |
| Faulturi | 12,24 9,41–15,08 8,65–15,84 | 11,57 8,62–14,51 7,87–15,26 | 23,81 18,03–29,59 16,52–31,10 | 51% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,18 1,02–3,34 0,72–3,64 | 1,68 0,59–2,77 0,30–3,06 | 3,86 1,60–6,11 1,01–6,70 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,03 0,98–3,08 0,71–3,35 | 1,90 0,77–3,03 0,48–3,32 | 3,93 1,75–6,11 1,20–6,67 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,29–4,16 0,90–4,55 | 3,65 2,10–5,21 1,67–5,63 | 6,38 3,39–9,37 2,58–10,19 | 28% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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