La Liga·Etapa 15·
La Liga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,112,96sigur0,88–2,810,26–1,971,13–4,78mai sigur0,62–3,060,03–2,200,65–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,893,899,78sigur4,03–7,752,15–5,636,18–13,39mai sigur3,54–8,241,68–6,105,22–14,34
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,3211,0428,36sigur13,39–21,247,48–14,6020,87–35,84mai sigur12,30–22,336,52–15,5618,82–37,89
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,447,1918,63sigur8,50–14,384,51–9,8713,00–24,25mai sigur7,67–15,213,77–10,6111,44–25,82
Șuturi blocate
56%
13%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,593,638,22sigur2,71–6,471,98–5,294,69–11,76mai sigur2,17–7,021,49–5,783,65–12,79
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,544,0810,62sigur4,33–8,752,08–6,086,41–14,84mai sigur3,75–9,331,55–6,625,30–15,94
Posesie %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,7342,81sigur49,94–63,5236,02–49,59mai sigur48,27–65,1934,35–51,27
Pase
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție553380934sigur486–621314–447800–1067mai sigur468–639296–464764–1103
Precizie pase %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,8668,91sigur67,83–75,8964,59–73,23mai sigur66,53–77,1863,28–74,54
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7112,5724,28sigur8,87–14,559,63–15,5218,50–30,06mai sigur8,11–15,308,88–16,2717,00–31,57
Ofsaiduri
54%
21%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,121,393,51sigur0,96–3,280,29–2,481,25–5,76mai sigur0,66–3,580,01–2,770,66–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,812,194,00sigur0,76–2,861,06–3,321,82–6,18mai sigur0,50–3,130,77–3,611,27–6,74
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
26%
15%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,613,736,35sigur1,18–4,052,18–5,293,36–9,34mai sigur0,79–4,441,75–5,722,54–10,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,84 0,88–2,81 0,62–3,06 | 1,11 0,26–1,97 0,03–2,20 | 2,96 1,13–4,78 0,65–5,26 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,89 4,03–7,75 3,54–8,24 | 3,89 2,15–5,63 1,68–6,10 | 9,78 6,18–13,39 5,22–14,34 | 68% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 17,32 13,39–21,24 12,30–22,33 | 11,04 7,48–14,60 6,52–15,56 | 28,36 20,87–35,84 18,82–37,89 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,44 8,50–14,38 7,67–15,21 | 7,19 4,51–9,87 3,77–10,61 | 18,63 13,00–24,25 11,44–25,82 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,59 2,71–6,47 2,17–7,02 | 3,63 1,98–5,29 1,49–5,78 | 8,22 4,69–11,76 3,65–12,79 | 56% 13% 30% |
| Cornere | 6,54 4,33–8,75 3,75–9,33 | 4,08 2,08–6,08 1,55–6,62 | 10,62 6,41–14,84 5,30–15,94 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 56,73 49,94–63,52 48,27–65,19 | 42,81 36,02–49,59 34,35–51,27 | — | 78% 19% |
| Pase | 553 486–621 468–639 | 380 314–447 296–464 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 93% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,86 67,83–75,89 66,53–77,18 | 68,91 64,59–73,23 63,28–74,54 | — | 62% 33% |
| Faulturi | 11,71 8,87–14,55 8,11–15,30 | 12,57 9,63–15,52 8,88–16,27 | 24,28 18,50–30,06 17,00–31,57 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,12 0,96–3,28 0,66–3,58 | 1,39 0,29–2,48 0,01–2,77 | 3,51 1,25–5,76 0,66–6,35 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,81 0,76–2,86 0,50–3,13 | 2,19 1,06–3,32 0,77–3,61 | 4,00 1,82–6,18 1,27–6,74 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,61 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,73 2,18–5,29 1,75–5,72 | 6,35 3,36–9,34 2,54–10,15 | 26% 15% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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