La Liga·Etapa 16·
La Liga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
24%
24%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,061,692,75sigur0,09–2,030,83–2,540,93–4,57mai sigur0,00–2,280,61–2,770,45–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
26%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,655,028,68sigur1,79–5,523,28–6,765,07–12,28mai sigur1,30–6,012,81–7,234,12–13,24
Total șuturi
25%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3414,1925,54sigur7,42–15,2710,63–17,7618,05–33,02mai sigur6,33–16,369,67–18,7216,00–35,07
Șuturi din careu
22%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,749,2816,03sigur3,80–9,696,60–11,9610,40–21,65mai sigur2,97–10,525,86–12,708,84–23,22
Șuturi blocate
29%
14%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,043,997,04sigur1,16–4,932,34–5,653,50–10,57mai sigur0,62–5,471,85–6,142,47–11,61
Cornere
35%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,505,209,70sigur2,29–6,713,20–7,205,49–13,92mai sigur1,71–7,292,67–7,734,38–15,02
Posesie %
29%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,9154,44sigur39,11–52,7047,66–61,23mai sigur37,45–54,3745,99–62,90
Pase
26%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție450527978sigur383–518461–594844–1111mai sigur365–536443–611808–1147
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,4276,26sigur64,39–72,4571,93–80,58mai sigur63,10–73,7570,62–81,89
Faulturi
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1211,6822,80sigur8,28–13,968,73–14,6217,01–28,58mai sigur7,52–14,717,98–15,3715,51–30,08
Ofsaiduri
61%
18%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,721,634,35sigur1,56–3,880,54–2,722,09–6,60mai sigur1,26–4,180,25–3,011,50–7,19
Cartonașe galbene
39%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,843,66sigur0,77–2,870,71–2,971,48–5,84mai sigur0,50–3,130,42–3,260,92–6,39
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,070,16sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,260,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,390,00–0,79
Parade portar
53%
16%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,232,545,76sigur1,79–4,660,98–4,092,77–8,76mai sigur1,40–5,050,55–4,521,96–9,57
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,06 0,09–2,03 0,00–2,28 | 1,69 0,83–2,54 0,61–2,77 | 2,75 0,93–4,57 0,45–5,05 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,65 1,79–5,52 1,30–6,01 | 5,02 3,28–6,76 2,81–7,23 | 8,68 5,07–12,28 4,12–13,24 | 26% 61% |
| Total șuturi | 11,34 7,42–15,27 6,33–16,36 | 14,19 10,63–17,76 9,67–18,72 | 25,54 18,05–33,02 16,00–35,07 | 25% 68% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,74 3,80–9,69 2,97–10,52 | 9,28 6,60–11,96 5,86–12,70 | 16,03 10,40–21,65 8,84–23,22 | 22% 69% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,04 1,16–4,93 0,62–5,47 | 3,99 2,34–5,65 1,85–6,14 | 7,04 3,50–10,57 2,47–11,61 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Cornere | 4,50 2,29–6,71 1,71–7,29 | 5,20 3,20–7,20 2,67–7,73 | 9,70 5,49–13,92 4,38–15,02 | 35% 52% |
| Posesie % | 45,91 39,11–52,70 37,45–54,37 | 54,44 47,66–61,23 45,99–62,90 | — | 29% 67% |
| Pase | 450 383–518 365–536 | 527 461–594 443–611 | 978 844–1111 808–1147 | 26% 74% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,42 64,39–72,45 63,10–73,75 | 76,26 71,93–80,58 70,62–81,89 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 11,12 8,28–13,96 7,52–14,71 | 11,68 8,73–14,62 7,98–15,37 | 22,80 17,01–28,58 15,51–30,08 | 41% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,72 1,56–3,88 1,26–4,18 | 1,63 0,54–2,72 0,25–3,01 | 4,35 2,09–6,60 1,50–7,19 | 61% 18% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,82 0,77–2,87 0,50–3,13 | 1,84 0,71–2,97 0,42–3,26 | 3,66 1,48–5,84 0,92–6,39 | 39% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,23 1,79–4,66 1,40–5,05 | 2,54 0,98–4,09 0,55–4,52 | 5,76 2,77–8,76 1,96–9,57 | 53% 16% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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