La Liga·Etapa 16·
La Liga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
24%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,740,992,73sigur0,77–2,700,14–1,850,91–4,55mai sigur0,52–2,960,00–2,080,43–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,213,839,05sigur3,35–7,082,09–5,585,44–12,65mai sigur2,86–7,571,63–6,044,49–13,61
Total șuturi
77%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5012,0428,54sigur12,58–20,428,48–15,6021,05–36,03mai sigur11,48–21,527,52–16,5619,00–38,08
Șuturi din careu
73%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,647,5318,17sigur7,70–13,594,85–10,2112,55–23,79mai sigur6,87–14,424,11–10,9510,98–25,36
Șuturi blocate
60%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,853,578,42sigur2,97–6,731,92–5,224,89–11,96mai sigur2,43–7,281,43–5,723,85–12,99
Cornere
76%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,884,0910,97sigur4,66–9,092,09–6,096,76–15,18mai sigur4,09–9,661,56–6,635,65–16,29
Posesie %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,2941,61sigur50,50–64,0834,82–48,39mai sigur48,83–65,7533,15–50,06
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție536373909sigur469–603307–439775–1042mai sigur450–621289–457739–1078
Precizie pase %
75%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,8168,07sigur69,78–77,8463,74–72,39mai sigur68,49–79,1362,43–73,70
Faulturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3013,3024,60sigur8,47–14,1410,36–16,2518,82–30,39mai sigur7,71–14,909,61–17,0017,32–31,89
Ofsaiduri
54%
21%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,131,393,52sigur0,97–3,290,30–2,481,26–5,77mai sigur0,67–3,590,01–2,770,68–6,36
Cartonașe galbene
27%
19%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,712,444,14sigur0,66–2,761,31–3,571,97–6,32mai sigur0,39–3,021,02–3,861,41–6,88
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
26%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,493,576,06sigur1,06–3,932,02–5,133,07–9,06mai sigur0,67–4,321,59–5,552,26–9,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,74 0,77–2,70 0,52–2,96 | 0,99 0,14–1,85 0,00–2,08 | 2,73 0,91–4,55 0,43–5,03 | 55% 24% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,21 3,35–7,08 2,86–7,57 | 3,83 2,09–5,58 1,63–6,04 | 9,05 5,44–12,65 4,49–13,61 | 61% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 16,50 12,58–20,42 11,48–21,52 | 12,04 8,48–15,60 7,52–16,56 | 28,54 21,05–36,03 19,00–38,08 | 77% 18% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,64 7,70–13,59 6,87–14,42 | 7,53 4,85–10,21 4,11–10,95 | 18,17 12,55–23,79 10,98–25,36 | 73% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,85 2,97–6,73 2,43–7,28 | 3,57 1,92–5,22 1,43–5,72 | 8,42 4,89–11,96 3,85–12,99 | 60% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,88 4,66–9,09 4,09–9,66 | 4,09 2,09–6,09 1,56–6,63 | 10,97 6,76–15,18 5,65–16,29 | 76% 16% |
| Posesie % | 57,29 50,50–64,08 48,83–65,75 | 41,61 34,82–48,39 33,15–50,06 | — | 81% 16% |
| Pase | 536 469–603 450–621 | 373 307–439 289–457 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,81 69,78–77,84 68,49–79,13 | 68,07 63,74–72,39 62,43–73,70 | — | 75% 21% |
| Faulturi | 11,30 8,47–14,14 7,71–14,90 | 13,30 10,36–16,25 9,61–17,00 | 24,60 18,82–30,39 17,32–31,89 | 31% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,13 0,97–3,29 0,67–3,59 | 1,39 0,30–2,48 0,01–2,77 | 3,52 1,26–5,77 0,68–6,36 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,71 0,66–2,76 0,39–3,02 | 2,44 1,31–3,57 1,02–3,86 | 4,14 1,97–6,32 1,41–6,88 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,49 1,06–3,93 0,67–4,32 | 3,57 2,02–5,13 1,59–5,55 | 6,06 3,07–9,06 2,26–9,87 | 26% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.