La Liga·Etapa 17·
La Liga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,332,74sigur0,45–2,380,47–2,180,92–4,57mai sigur0,20–2,630,25–2,410,44–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,734,629,35sigur2,87–6,602,87–6,365,74–12,95mai sigur2,38–7,092,41–6,824,79–13,91
Total șuturi
50%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6213,1826,79sigur9,69–17,549,61–16,7419,31–34,28mai sigur8,60–18,638,65–17,7017,26–36,33
Șuturi din careu
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,308,3117,61sigur6,36–12,255,63–10,9911,99–23,24mai sigur5,53–13,084,89–11,7310,42–24,80
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,783,317,09sigur1,89–5,661,66–4,973,55–10,62mai sigur1,35–6,201,17–5,462,52–11,66
Cornere
59%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,694,4910,19sigur3,48–7,912,49–6,495,97–14,40mai sigur2,91–8,481,96–7,024,86–15,51
Posesie %
34%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,1153,04sigur40,32–53,9146,25–59,82mai sigur38,65–55,5744,58–61,49
Pase
35%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție456503959sigur389–523436–569825–1093mai sigur371–541419–587790–1128
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,9774,93sigur65,94–74,0070,61–79,25mai sigur64,65–75,2969,30–80,56
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1210,9823,10sigur9,28–14,968,03–13,9217,31–28,88mai sigur8,52–15,717,29–14,6715,81–30,38
Ofsaiduri
41%
18%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,612,625,23sigur1,45–3,771,53–3,722,98–7,48mai sigur1,15–4,071,24–4,012,39–8,07
Cartonașe galbene
46%
20%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,221,914,13sigur1,17–3,270,78–3,031,95–6,30mai sigur0,91–3,540,49–3,331,39–6,86
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,070,18sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,260,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,390,00–0,81
Parade portar
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,203,276,47sigur1,77–4,641,71–4,823,48–9,46mai sigur1,38–5,031,29–5,252,67–10,28
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,45–2,38 0,20–2,63 | 1,33 0,47–2,18 0,25–2,41 | 2,74 0,92–4,57 0,44–5,05 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,73 2,87–6,60 2,38–7,09 | 4,62 2,87–6,36 2,41–6,82 | 9,35 5,74–12,95 4,79–13,91 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 13,62 9,69–17,54 8,60–18,63 | 13,18 9,61–16,74 8,65–17,70 | 26,79 19,31–34,28 17,26–36,33 | 50% 43% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,30 6,36–12,25 5,53–13,08 | 8,31 5,63–10,99 4,89–11,73 | 17,61 11,99–23,24 10,42–24,80 | 55% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,78 1,89–5,66 1,35–6,20 | 3,31 1,66–4,97 1,17–5,46 | 7,09 3,55–10,62 2,52–11,66 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,69 3,48–7,91 2,91–8,48 | 4,49 2,49–6,49 1,96–7,02 | 10,19 5,97–14,40 4,86–15,51 | 59% 30% |
| Posesie % | 47,11 40,32–53,91 38,65–55,57 | 53,04 46,25–59,82 44,58–61,49 | — | 34% 61% |
| Pase | 456 389–523 371–541 | 503 436–569 419–587 | 959 825–1093 790–1128 | 35% 65% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,97 65,94–74,00 64,65–75,29 | 74,93 70,61–79,25 69,30–80,56 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 12,12 9,28–14,96 8,52–15,71 | 10,98 8,03–13,92 7,29–14,67 | 23,10 17,31–28,88 15,81–30,38 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,61 1,45–3,77 1,15–4,07 | 2,62 1,53–3,72 1,24–4,01 | 5,23 2,98–7,48 2,39–8,07 | 41% 18% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,22 1,17–3,27 0,91–3,54 | 1,91 0,78–3,03 0,49–3,33 | 4,13 1,95–6,30 1,39–6,86 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,20 1,77–4,64 1,38–5,03 | 3,27 1,71–4,82 1,29–5,25 | 6,47 3,48–9,46 2,67–10,28 | 41% 16% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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