La Liga·Etapa 17·
La Liga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,710,804,50sigur2,74–4,680,00–1,652,68–6,33mai sigur2,49–4,930,00–1,882,20–6,80
Șuturi pe poartă
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,052,9211,97sigur7,19–10,911,18–4,668,37–15,58mai sigur6,70–11,400,71–5,137,41–16,53
Total șuturi
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție22,617,5630,17sigur18,69–26,534,00–11,1222,68–37,66mai sigur17,59–27,633,04–12,0820,63–39,71
Șuturi din careu
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,234,9220,15sigur12,29–18,172,24–7,6014,52–25,77mai sigur11,46–19,001,50–8,3412,96–27,34
Șuturi blocate
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,571,797,36sigur3,69–7,450,13–3,443,82–10,89mai sigur3,15–8,000,00–3,932,79–11,93
Cornere
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,272,8011,07sigur6,05–10,480,80–4,816,86–15,28mai sigur5,48–11,050,27–5,345,75–16,39
Posesie %
99%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,4927,29sigur64,70–78,2820,50–34,07mai sigur63,03–79,9518,83–35,74
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7532791031sigur686–820212–345898–1165mai sigur667–838195–363862–1201
Precizie pase %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție80,5965,40sigur76,57–84,6261,08–69,73mai sigur75,27–85,9259,77–71,04
Faulturi
26%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,9911,3920,38sigur6,15–11,838,44–14,3314,59–26,16mai sigur5,40–12,587,69–15,0813,09–27,66
Ofsaiduri
24%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,303,505,80sigur1,14–3,462,41–4,603,55–8,06mai sigur0,84–3,762,12–4,882,96–8,64
Cartonașe galbene
24%
22%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,201,903,10sigur0,15–2,250,78–3,030,93–5,28mai sigur0,00–2,520,48–3,330,37–5,84
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,015,597,59sigur0,57–3,444,03–7,144,60–10,59mai sigur0,18–3,833,61–7,573,79–11,40
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 3,71 2,74–4,68 2,49–4,93 | 0,80 0,00–1,65 0,00–1,88 | 4,50 2,68–6,33 2,20–6,80 | 88% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 9,05 7,19–10,91 6,70–11,40 | 2,92 1,18–4,66 0,71–5,13 | 11,97 8,37–15,58 7,41–16,53 | 95% |
| Total șuturi | 22,61 18,69–26,53 17,59–27,63 | 7,56 4,00–11,12 3,04–12,08 | 30,17 22,68–37,66 20,63–39,71 | 100% |
| Șuturi din careu | 15,23 12,29–18,17 11,46–19,00 | 4,92 2,24–7,60 1,50–8,34 | 20,15 14,52–25,77 12,96–27,34 | 99% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,57 3,69–7,45 3,15–8,00 | 1,79 0,13–3,44 0,00–3,93 | 7,36 3,82–10,89 2,79–11,93 | 89% |
| Cornere | 8,27 6,05–10,48 5,48–11,05 | 2,80 0,80–4,81 0,27–5,34 | 11,07 6,86–15,28 5,75–16,39 | 94% |
| Posesie % | 71,49 64,70–78,28 63,03–79,95 | 27,29 20,50–34,07 18,83–35,74 | — | 99% |
| Pase | 753 686–820 667–838 | 279 212–345 195–363 | 1031 898–1165 862–1201 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 80,59 76,57–84,62 75,27–85,92 | 65,40 61,08–69,73 59,77–71,04 | — | 97% |
| Faulturi | 8,99 6,15–11,83 5,40–12,58 | 11,39 8,44–14,33 7,69–15,08 | 20,38 14,59–26,16 13,09–27,66 | 26% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,30 1,14–3,46 0,84–3,76 | 3,50 2,41–4,60 2,12–4,88 | 5,80 3,55–8,06 2,96–8,64 | 24% 15% 61% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,20 0,15–2,25 0,00–2,52 | 1,90 0,78–3,03 0,48–3,33 | 3,10 0,93–5,28 0,37–5,84 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,01 0,57–3,44 0,18–3,83 | 5,59 4,03–7,14 3,61–7,57 | 7,59 4,60–10,59 3,79–11,40 | 87% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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