La Liga·Etapa 18·
La Liga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
25%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,600,962,56sigur0,63–2,570,11–1,820,74–4,38mai sigur0,38–2,820,00–2,040,26–4,86
Șuturi pe poartă
67%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,303,458,75sigur3,43–7,161,71–5,195,14–12,35mai sigur2,94–7,651,24–5,664,19–13,31
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2810,5125,78sigur11,35–19,206,94–14,0718,30–33,27mai sigur10,26–20,295,99–15,0316,25–35,32
Șuturi din careu
72%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,176,4115,58sigur6,23–12,113,73–9,109,96–21,21mai sigur5,40–12,943,00–9,838,39–22,77
Șuturi blocate
54%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,033,227,25sigur2,15–5,911,57–4,883,72–10,79mai sigur1,60–6,451,08–5,372,68–11,82
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,773,809,57sigur3,56–7,991,80–5,805,36–13,78mai sigur2,99–8,561,26–6,334,25–14,89
Posesie %
61%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,4047,77sigur46,61–60,1940,99–54,56mai sigur44,94–61,8639,32–56,23
Pase
79%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție544446990sigur477–611380–513856–1124mai sigur459–629362–530821–1159
Precizie pase %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,9073,79sigur68,88–76,9369,47–78,11mai sigur67,58–78,2368,16–79,42
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3711,7623,13sigur8,53–14,218,82–14,7117,35–28,91mai sigur7,78–14,968,07–15,4615,85–30,42
Ofsaiduri
52%
23%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,213,06sigur0,69–3,010,12–2,310,81–5,31mai sigur0,39–3,310,00–2,590,22–5,90
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,702,023,73sigur0,65–2,750,89–3,151,55–5,90mai sigur0,39–3,020,60–3,440,99–6,46
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
25%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,383,465,84sigur0,94–3,811,91–5,022,85–8,83mai sigur0,55–4,201,48–5,442,03–9,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,60 0,63–2,57 0,38–2,82 | 0,96 0,11–1,82 0,00–2,04 | 2,56 0,74–4,38 0,26–4,86 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,30 3,43–7,16 2,94–7,65 | 3,45 1,71–5,19 1,24–5,66 | 8,75 5,14–12,35 4,19–13,31 | 67% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 15,28 11,35–19,20 10,26–20,29 | 10,51 6,94–14,07 5,99–15,03 | 25,78 18,30–33,27 16,25–35,32 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,17 6,23–12,11 5,40–12,94 | 6,41 3,73–9,10 3,00–9,83 | 15,58 9,96–21,21 8,39–22,77 | 72% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,03 2,15–5,91 1,60–6,45 | 3,22 1,57–4,88 1,08–5,37 | 7,25 3,72–10,79 2,68–11,82 | 54% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,77 3,56–7,99 2,99–8,56 | 3,80 1,80–5,80 1,26–6,33 | 9,57 5,36–13,78 4,25–14,89 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 53,40 46,61–60,19 44,94–61,86 | 47,77 40,99–54,56 39,32–56,23 | — | 61% 35% |
| Pase | 544 477–611 459–629 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 990 856–1124 821–1159 | 79% 21% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,90 68,88–76,93 67,58–78,23 | 73,79 69,47–78,11 68,16–79,42 | — | 43% 52% |
| Faulturi | 11,37 8,53–14,21 7,78–14,96 | 11,76 8,82–14,71 8,07–15,46 | 23,13 17,35–28,91 15,85–30,42 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,85 0,69–3,01 0,39–3,31 | 1,21 0,12–2,31 0,00–2,59 | 3,06 0,81–5,31 0,22–5,90 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,75 0,39–3,02 | 2,02 0,89–3,15 0,60–3,44 | 3,73 1,55–5,90 0,99–6,46 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,38 0,94–3,81 0,55–4,20 | 3,46 1,91–5,02 1,48–5,44 | 5,84 2,85–8,83 2,03–9,64 | 25% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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