La Liga·Etapa 18·
La Liga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
17%
19%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,062,243,30sigur0,09–2,031,39–3,101,48–5,13mai sigur0,00–2,281,16–3,331,00–5,61
Șuturi pe poartă
15%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,456,049,49sigur1,59–5,324,30–7,785,89–13,10mai sigur1,10–5,803,83–8,254,93–14,05
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6216,5126,12sigur5,69–13,5412,94–20,0718,64–33,61mai sigur4,60–14,6311,98–21,0316,59–35,66
Șuturi din careu
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,3011,2517,55sigur3,36–9,248,57–13,9411,93–23,18mai sigur2,53–10,077,84–14,6710,36–24,74
Șuturi blocate
20%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,654,397,04sigur0,77–4,532,74–6,053,51–10,58mai sigur0,23–5,082,25–6,542,47–11,62
Cornere
17%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,876,3210,19sigur1,65–6,084,32–8,325,98–14,40mai sigur1,08–6,663,79–8,864,87–15,51
Posesie %
20%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,8457,31sigur37,05–50,6350,53–64,10mai sigur35,38–52,3048,86–65,77
Pase
17%
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție418531949sigur351–485464–597815–1083mai sigur333–504447–615780–1118
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,3775,77sigur61,34–69,3971,45–80,10mai sigur60,04–70,6970,14–81,41
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6312,6324,26sigur8,80–14,479,69–15,5718,48–30,05mai sigur8,04–15,238,94–16,3216,98–31,55
Ofsaiduri
37%
18%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,512,765,27sigur1,35–3,671,67–3,863,02–7,52mai sigur1,04–3,971,38–4,152,43–8,11
Cartonașe galbene
44%
20%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,181,944,13sigur1,13–3,230,82–3,071,95–6,30mai sigur0,87–3,500,52–3,361,39–6,86
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,080,19sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,270,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,400,00–0,82
Parade portar
67%
14%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,892,306,19sigur2,45–5,320,75–3,863,20–9,18mai sigur2,06–5,710,32–4,282,38–9,99
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,06 0,09–2,03 0,00–2,28 | 2,24 1,39–3,10 1,16–3,33 | 3,30 1,48–5,13 1,00–5,61 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,45 1,59–5,32 1,10–5,80 | 6,04 4,30–7,78 3,83–8,25 | 9,49 5,89–13,10 4,93–14,05 | 15% 75% |
| Total șuturi | 9,62 5,69–13,54 4,60–14,63 | 16,51 12,94–20,07 11,98–21,03 | 26,12 18,64–33,61 16,59–35,66 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,30 3,36–9,24 2,53–10,07 | 11,25 8,57–13,94 7,84–14,67 | 17,55 11,93–23,18 10,36–24,74 | 86% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,65 0,77–4,53 0,23–5,08 | 4,39 2,74–6,05 2,25–6,54 | 7,04 3,51–10,58 2,47–11,62 | 20% 68% |
| Cornere | 3,87 1,65–6,08 1,08–6,66 | 6,32 4,32–8,32 3,79–8,86 | 10,19 5,98–14,40 4,87–15,51 | 17% 73% |
| Posesie % | 43,84 37,05–50,63 35,38–52,30 | 57,31 50,53–64,10 48,86–65,77 | — | 20% 77% |
| Pase | 418 351–485 333–504 | 531 464–597 447–615 | 949 815–1083 780–1118 | 17% 83% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,37 61,34–69,39 60,04–70,69 | 75,77 71,45–80,10 70,14–81,41 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 11,63 8,80–14,47 8,04–15,23 | 12,63 9,69–15,57 8,94–16,32 | 24,26 18,48–30,05 16,98–31,55 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,51 1,35–3,67 1,04–3,97 | 2,76 1,67–3,86 1,38–4,15 | 5,27 3,02–7,52 2,43–8,11 | 37% 18% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,18 1,13–3,23 0,87–3,50 | 1,94 0,82–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 4,13 1,95–6,30 1,39–6,86 | 44% 20% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,89 2,45–5,32 2,06–5,71 | 2,30 0,75–3,86 0,32–4,28 | 6,19 3,20–9,18 2,38–9,99 | 67% 14% 20% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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