La Liga·Etapa 18·
La Liga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
23%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,770,942,71sigur0,80–2,730,09–1,800,89–4,53mai sigur0,55–2,980,00–2,030,41–5,01
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,123,408,51sigur3,25–6,981,66–5,144,91–12,12mai sigur2,76–7,471,19–5,613,95–13,08
Total șuturi
76%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3410,4024,74sigur10,42–18,276,84–13,9617,26–32,23mai sigur9,33–19,365,88–14,9215,21–34,28
Șuturi din careu
73%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,696,7016,39sigur6,75–12,634,02–9,3810,77–22,01mai sigur5,92–13,463,28–10,129,20–23,58
Șuturi blocate
57%
15%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,902,906,80sigur2,02–5,791,25–4,553,27–10,34mai sigur1,48–6,330,75–5,042,23–11,37
Cornere
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,113,689,79sigur3,90–8,331,68–5,685,57–14,00mai sigur3,32–8,901,14–6,214,47–15,11
Posesie %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,7038,78sigur53,91–67,4932,00–45,57mai sigur52,24–69,1630,33–47,24
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție570331901sigur503–637265–398768–1035mai sigur485–655247–415732–1071
Precizie pase %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,6367,45sigur70,60–78,6563,13–71,77mai sigur69,30–79,9561,82–73,08
Faulturi
45%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4813,6927,18sigur10,65–16,3210,75–16,6421,39–32,96mai sigur9,89–17,0810,00–17,3819,89–34,46
Ofsaiduri
51%
21%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,483,53sigur0,88–3,210,39–2,581,28–5,78mai sigur0,58–3,510,10–2,870,69–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
29%
19%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,454,30sigur0,80–2,901,32–3,582,12–6,48mai sigur0,53–3,161,03–3,871,56–7,03
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
31%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,363,025,37sigur0,92–3,791,46–4,572,38–8,37mai sigur0,53–4,181,04–5,001,57–9,18
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,73 0,55–2,98 | 0,94 0,09–1,80 0,00–2,03 | 2,71 0,89–4,53 0,41–5,01 | 57% 23% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,12 3,25–6,98 2,76–7,47 | 3,40 1,66–5,14 1,19–5,61 | 8,51 4,91–12,12 3,95–13,08 | 66% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 14,34 10,42–18,27 9,33–19,36 | 10,40 6,84–13,96 5,88–14,92 | 24,74 17,26–32,23 15,21–34,28 | 76% 18% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,69 6,75–12,63 5,92–13,46 | 6,70 4,02–9,38 3,28–10,12 | 16,39 10,77–22,01 9,20–23,58 | 73% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,90 2,02–5,79 1,48–6,33 | 2,90 1,25–4,55 0,75–5,04 | 6,80 3,27–10,34 2,23–11,37 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Cornere | 6,11 3,90–8,33 3,32–8,90 | 3,68 1,68–5,68 1,14–6,21 | 9,79 5,57–14,00 4,47–15,11 | 73% 17% |
| Posesie % | 60,70 53,91–67,49 52,24–69,16 | 38,78 32,00–45,57 30,33–47,24 | — | 89% |
| Pase | 570 503–637 485–655 | 331 265–398 247–415 | 901 768–1035 732–1071 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,63 70,60–78,65 69,30–79,95 | 67,45 63,13–71,77 61,82–73,08 | — | 81% 16% |
| Faulturi | 13,48 10,65–16,32 9,89–17,08 | 13,69 10,75–16,64 10,00–17,38 | 27,18 21,39–32,96 19,89–34,46 | 45% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,05 0,88–3,21 0,58–3,51 | 1,48 0,39–2,58 0,10–2,87 | 3,53 1,28–5,78 0,69–6,37 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,53–3,16 | 2,45 1,32–3,58 1,03–3,87 | 4,30 2,12–6,48 1,56–7,03 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,92–3,79 0,53–4,18 | 3,02 1,46–4,57 1,04–5,00 | 5,37 2,38–8,37 1,57–9,18 | 31% 17% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.18+