La Liga·Etapa 19·
La Liga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
24%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,262,89sigur0,66–2,600,40–2,111,06–4,71mai sigur0,41–2,850,17–2,340,58–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,064,239,29sigur3,20–6,922,48–5,975,68–12,89mai sigur2,71–7,412,02–6,434,73–13,85
Total șuturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0111,9926,00sigur10,08–17,938,43–15,5518,51–33,49mai sigur8,99–19,027,47–16,5116,46–35,54
Șuturi din careu
64%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,827,8617,67sigur6,87–12,765,18–10,5412,05–23,30mai sigur6,05–13,594,44–11,2810,48–24,86
Șuturi blocate
58%
14%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,083,027,10sigur2,20–5,971,36–4,673,57–10,64mai sigur1,66–6,510,87–5,162,53–11,67
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,774,4010,17sigur3,56–7,982,40–6,405,96–14,38mai sigur2,98–8,561,87–6,934,85–15,49
Posesie %
51%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,9649,66sigur44,17–57,7542,88–56,45mai sigur42,50–59,4241,21–58,12
Pase
55%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție483468951sigur416–550401–534817–1084mai sigur398–569384–552781–1120
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,0174,26sigur66,98–75,0469,94–78,59mai sigur65,69–76,3368,63–79,90
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5713,0025,56sigur9,73–15,4010,05–15,9419,78–31,35mai sigur8,97–16,169,31–16,6918,28–32,85
Ofsaiduri
16%
15%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,543,074,61sigur0,38–2,701,98–4,162,35–6,86mai sigur0,08–3,001,69–4,451,76–7,45
Cartonașe galbene
37%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,942,094,03sigur0,89–2,990,96–3,221,85–6,21mai sigur0,62–3,260,67–3,511,29–6,76
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
38%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,073,306,37sigur1,64–4,511,74–4,853,38–9,36mai sigur1,25–4,901,32–5,282,57–10,17
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,26 0,40–2,11 0,17–2,34 | 2,89 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,19 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,06 3,20–6,92 2,71–7,41 | 4,23 2,48–5,97 2,02–6,43 | 9,29 5,68–12,89 4,73–13,85 | 54% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 14,01 10,08–17,93 8,99–19,02 | 11,99 8,43–15,55 7,47–16,51 | 26,00 18,51–33,49 16,46–35,54 | 62% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,82 6,87–12,76 6,05–13,59 | 7,86 5,18–10,54 4,44–11,28 | 17,67 12,05–23,30 10,48–24,86 | 64% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,08 2,20–5,97 1,66–6,51 | 3,02 1,36–4,67 0,87–5,16 | 7,10 3,57–10,64 2,53–11,67 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,77 3,56–7,98 2,98–8,56 | 4,40 2,40–6,40 1,87–6,93 | 10,17 5,96–14,38 4,85–15,49 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 50,96 44,17–57,75 42,50–59,42 | 49,66 42,88–56,45 41,21–58,12 | — | 51% 45% |
| Pase | 483 416–550 398–569 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 55% 45% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,01 66,98–75,04 65,69–76,33 | 74,26 69,94–78,59 68,63–79,90 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 12,57 9,73–15,40 8,97–16,16 | 13,00 10,05–15,94 9,31–16,69 | 25,56 19,78–31,35 18,28–32,85 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 3,07 1,98–4,16 1,69–4,45 | 4,61 2,35–6,86 1,76–7,45 | 16% 15% 68% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,94 0,89–2,99 0,62–3,26 | 2,09 0,96–3,22 0,67–3,51 | 4,03 1,85–6,21 1,29–6,76 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,07 1,64–4,51 1,25–4,90 | 3,30 1,74–4,85 1,32–5,28 | 6,37 3,38–9,36 2,57–10,17 | 38% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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