La Liga·Etapa 19·
La Liga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,700,883,57sigur1,73–3,670,02–1,731,75–5,40mai sigur1,48–3,920,00–1,961,27–5,88
Șuturi pe poartă
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,733,3211,05sigur5,87–9,591,58–5,067,44–14,65mai sigur5,38–10,081,11–5,536,49–15,61
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,929,6130,53sigur17,00–24,856,05–13,1823,05–38,02mai sigur15,90–25,945,09–14,1421,00–40,07
Șuturi din careu
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,886,4420,32sigur10,94–16,823,76–9,1214,70–25,94mai sigur10,11–17,653,02–9,8613,13–27,51
Șuturi blocate
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,422,277,68sigur3,54–7,300,61–3,924,15–11,22mai sigur2,99–7,840,12–4,413,11–12,25
Cornere
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,273,3811,65sigur6,06–10,481,38–5,397,44–15,87mai sigur5,48–11,060,85–5,926,33–16,97
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,4237,93sigur55,63–69,2131,14–44,71mai sigur53,96–70,8829,47–46,38
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție613373986sigur546–680307–439852–1120mai sigur528–698289–457817–1155
Precizie pase %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,9869,95sigur72,95–81,0165,62–74,27mai sigur71,66–82,3164,32–75,58
Faulturi
33%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2211,7221,95sigur7,39–13,068,78–14,6716,17–27,73mai sigur6,63–13,828,03–15,4214,66–29,24
Ofsaiduri
62%
18%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,651,524,17sigur1,49–3,810,43–2,621,92–6,43mai sigur1,19–4,110,14–2,901,33–7,02
Cartonașe galbene
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,953,38sigur0,39–2,490,82–3,081,21–5,56mai sigur0,12–2,750,53–3,370,65–6,12
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,425,137,55sigur0,98–3,853,57–6,694,55–10,54mai sigur0,59–4,243,15–7,113,74–11,35
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,70 1,73–3,67 1,48–3,92 | 0,88 0,02–1,73 0,00–1,96 | 3,57 1,75–5,40 1,27–5,88 | 76% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,73 5,87–9,59 5,38–10,08 | 3,32 1,58–5,06 1,11–5,53 | 11,05 7,44–14,65 6,49–15,61 | 88% |
| Total șuturi | 20,92 17,00–24,85 15,90–25,94 | 9,61 6,05–13,18 5,09–14,14 | 30,53 23,05–38,02 21,00–40,07 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,88 10,94–16,82 10,11–17,65 | 6,44 3,76–9,12 3,02–9,86 | 20,32 14,70–25,94 13,13–27,51 | 94% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,42 3,54–7,30 2,99–7,84 | 2,27 0,61–3,92 0,12–4,41 | 7,68 4,15–11,22 3,11–12,25 | 83% |
| Cornere | 8,27 6,06–10,48 5,48–11,06 | 3,38 1,38–5,39 0,85–5,92 | 11,65 7,44–15,87 6,33–16,97 | 90% |
| Posesie % | 62,42 55,63–69,21 53,96–70,88 | 37,93 31,14–44,71 29,47–46,38 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 613 546–680 528–698 | 373 307–439 289–457 | 986 852–1120 817–1155 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,98 72,95–81,01 71,66–82,31 | 69,95 65,62–74,27 64,32–75,58 | — | 80% 17% |
| Faulturi | 10,22 7,39–13,06 6,63–13,82 | 11,72 8,78–14,67 8,03–15,42 | 21,95 16,17–27,73 14,66–29,24 | 33% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,65 1,49–3,81 1,19–4,11 | 1,52 0,43–2,62 0,14–2,90 | 4,17 1,92–6,43 1,33–7,02 | 62% 18% 21% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,44 0,39–2,49 0,12–2,75 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,38 1,21–5,56 0,65–6,12 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,42 0,98–3,85 0,59–4,24 | 5,13 3,57–6,69 3,15–7,11 | 7,55 4,55–10,54 3,74–11,35 | 79% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.