La Liga·Etapa 20·
La Liga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
68%
19%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,240,903,14sigur1,28–3,210,05–1,751,32–4,97mai sigur1,03–3,460,00–1,980,84–5,45
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,713,129,83sigur4,85–8,581,38–4,866,23–13,44mai sigur4,36–9,070,91–5,335,27–14,39
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,548,8427,38sigur14,62–22,475,28–12,4019,90–34,87mai sigur13,53–23,564,32–13,3617,85–36,92
Șuturi din careu
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,655,4918,14sigur9,71–15,592,81–8,1712,52–23,76mai sigur8,88–16,422,07–8,9110,95–25,33
Șuturi blocate
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,082,747,82sigur3,19–6,961,09–4,394,28–11,35mai sigur2,65–7,500,59–4,893,24–12,39
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,993,3910,38sigur4,77–9,201,39–5,396,16–14,59mai sigur4,20–9,780,85–5,925,05–15,70
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,1340,79sigur52,34–65,9234,01–47,58mai sigur50,67–67,5932,34–49,25
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție580375956sigur513–647309–442822–1089mai sigur495–666291–459786–1125
Precizie pase %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,6468,58sigur69,61–77,6764,26–72,91mai sigur68,32–78,9662,95–74,22
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9910,8020,78sigur7,15–12,827,85–13,7415,00–26,56mai sigur6,39–13,587,10–14,4913,50–28,07
Ofsaiduri
52%
21%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,081,443,52sigur0,92–3,240,35–2,531,27–5,78mai sigur0,62–3,540,06–2,820,68–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,953,41sigur0,41–2,510,82–3,081,23–5,59mai sigur0,15–2,780,53–3,370,68–6,15
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,164,206,36sigur0,72–3,592,64–5,763,37–9,35mai sigur0,33–3,982,22–6,182,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,24 1,28–3,21 1,03–3,46 | 0,90 0,05–1,75 0,00–1,98 | 3,14 1,32–4,97 0,84–5,45 | 68% 19% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,71 4,85–8,58 4,36–9,07 | 3,12 1,38–4,86 0,91–5,33 | 9,83 6,23–13,44 5,27–14,39 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 18,54 14,62–22,47 13,53–23,56 | 8,84 5,28–12,40 4,32–13,36 | 27,38 19,90–34,87 17,85–36,92 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,65 9,71–15,59 8,88–16,42 | 5,49 2,81–8,17 2,07–8,91 | 18,14 12,52–23,76 10,95–25,33 | 94% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,08 3,19–6,96 2,65–7,50 | 2,74 1,09–4,39 0,59–4,89 | 7,82 4,28–11,35 3,24–12,39 | 74% 15% |
| Cornere | 6,99 4,77–9,20 4,20–9,78 | 3,39 1,39–5,39 0,85–5,92 | 10,38 6,16–14,59 5,05–15,70 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 59,13 52,34–65,92 50,67–67,59 | 40,79 34,01–47,58 32,34–49,25 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 580 513–647 495–666 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 956 822–1089 786–1125 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,64 69,61–77,67 68,32–78,96 | 68,58 64,26–72,91 62,95–74,22 | — | 72% 24% |
| Faulturi | 9,99 7,15–12,82 6,39–13,58 | 10,80 7,85–13,74 7,10–14,49 | 20,78 15,00–26,56 13,50–28,07 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,08 0,92–3,24 0,62–3,54 | 1,44 0,35–2,53 0,06–2,82 | 3,52 1,27–5,78 0,68–6,37 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,46 0,41–2,51 0,15–2,78 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,41 1,23–5,59 0,68–6,15 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,16 0,72–3,59 0,33–3,98 | 4,20 2,64–5,76 2,22–6,18 | 6,36 3,37–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 15% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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