La Liga·Etapa 20·
La Liga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,773,274,04sigur0,00–1,742,42–4,132,22–5,86mai sigur0,00–1,992,19–4,361,74–6,34
Șuturi pe poartă
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,537,7911,32sigur1,67–5,406,04–9,537,71–14,93mai sigur1,18–5,895,58–10,006,76–15,88
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2819,3030,58sigur7,35–15,2015,74–22,8623,09–38,06mai sigur6,26–16,2914,78–23,8221,04–40,11
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,0713,0719,14sigur3,13–9,0110,39–15,7513,52–24,76mai sigur2,30–9,849,66–16,4911,95–26,33
Șuturi blocate
19%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,115,098,20sigur1,23–4,993,44–6,754,67–11,74mai sigur0,68–5,532,95–7,243,63–12,77
Cornere
21%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,246,2910,53sigur2,03–6,454,29–8,296,31–14,74mai sigur1,45–7,033,75–8,825,21–15,85
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție40,7459,14sigur33,95–47,5352,35–65,92mai sigur32,28–49,2050,68–67,59
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție412581994sigur345–479515–648860–1127mai sigur327–497497–665824–1163
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,4477,02sigur62,41–70,4772,69–81,34mai sigur61,12–71,7771,38–82,65
Faulturi
76%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,699,7223,41sigur10,85–16,536,77–12,6617,63–29,19mai sigur10,10–17,296,02–13,4116,12–30,69
Ofsaiduri
27%
20%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,642,313,95sigur0,48–2,801,22–3,401,70–6,20mai sigur0,18–3,100,93–3,691,11–6,79
Cartonașe galbene
54%
20%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,231,533,76sigur1,18–3,280,40–2,661,58–5,93mai sigur0,91–3,540,11–2,951,02–6,49
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,080,22sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,260,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,400,00–0,85
Parade portar
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,032,637,66sigur3,60–6,471,07–4,184,67–10,65mai sigur3,21–6,860,65–4,613,85–11,46
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,77 0,00–1,74 0,00–1,99 | 3,27 2,42–4,13 2,19–4,36 | 4,04 2,22–5,86 1,74–6,34 | 85% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,53 1,67–5,40 1,18–5,89 | 7,79 6,04–9,53 5,58–10,00 | 11,32 7,71–14,93 6,76–15,88 | 87% |
| Total șuturi | 11,28 7,35–15,20 6,26–16,29 | 19,30 15,74–22,86 14,78–23,82 | 30,58 23,09–38,06 21,04–40,11 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,07 3,13–9,01 2,30–9,84 | 13,07 10,39–15,75 9,66–16,49 | 19,14 13,52–24,76 11,95–26,33 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,11 1,23–4,99 0,68–5,53 | 5,09 3,44–6,75 2,95–7,24 | 8,20 4,67–11,74 3,63–12,77 | 19% 70% |
| Cornere | 4,24 2,03–6,45 1,45–7,03 | 6,29 4,29–8,29 3,75–8,82 | 10,53 6,31–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 21% 68% |
| Posesie % | 40,74 33,95–47,53 32,28–49,20 | 59,14 52,35–65,92 50,68–67,59 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 412 345–479 327–497 | 581 515–648 497–665 | 994 860–1127 824–1163 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,44 62,41–70,47 61,12–71,77 | 77,02 72,69–81,34 71,38–82,65 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 13,69 10,85–16,53 10,10–17,29 | 9,72 6,77–12,66 6,02–13,41 | 23,41 17,63–29,19 16,12–30,69 | 76% 18% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 2,31 1,22–3,40 0,93–3,69 | 3,95 1,70–6,20 1,11–6,79 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,23 1,18–3,28 0,91–3,54 | 1,53 0,40–2,66 0,11–2,95 | 3,76 1,58–5,93 1,02–6,49 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 5,03 3,60–6,47 3,21–6,86 | 2,63 1,07–4,18 0,65–4,61 | 7,66 4,67–10,65 3,85–11,46 | 76% 14% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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