La Liga·Etapa 20·
La Liga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
26%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,202,57sigur0,41–2,340,34–2,050,75–4,40mai sigur0,16–2,590,12–2,280,27–4,88
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,203,878,08sigur2,34–6,062,13–5,624,47–11,68mai sigur1,85–6,551,67–6,083,52–12,64
Total șuturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4812,3125,80sigur9,56–17,418,75–15,8818,31–33,28mai sigur8,47–18,507,79–16,8416,26–35,33
Șuturi din careu
52%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,387,6816,06sigur5,44–11,325,00–10,3610,44–21,68mai sigur4,61–12,154,26–11,108,87–23,25
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,823,146,95sigur1,93–5,701,49–4,793,42–10,49mai sigur1,39–6,240,99–5,282,38–11,53
Cornere
51%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,154,539,68sigur2,93–7,362,53–6,535,47–13,90mai sigur2,36–7,932,00–7,074,36–15,00
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,3045,31sigur48,51–62,0938,52–52,09mai sigur46,84–63,7636,85–53,76
Pase
86%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție495363857sigur427–562296–429724–991mai sigur409–580279–447688–1027
Precizie pase %
50%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2966,70sigur63,26–71,3262,37–71,02mai sigur61,96–72,6161,06–72,33
Faulturi
57%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8112,4426,25sigur10,97–16,659,49–15,3820,47–32,03mai sigur10,22–17,408,75–16,1318,96–33,54
Ofsaiduri
41%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,813,69sigur0,72–3,040,72–2,901,43–5,94mai sigur0,42–3,340,43–3,190,84–6,53
Cartonașe galbene
42%
20%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,162,044,21sigur1,12–3,210,91–3,172,03–6,38mai sigur0,85–3,480,62–3,461,47–6,94
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,120,23sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,310,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,440,00–0,86
Parade portar
39%
18%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,582,715,29sigur1,14–4,021,16–4,272,30–8,29mai sigur0,76–4,400,73–4,691,49–9,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,34 0,16–2,59 | 1,20 0,34–2,05 0,12–2,28 | 2,57 0,75–4,40 0,27–4,88 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,20 2,34–6,06 1,85–6,55 | 3,87 2,13–5,62 1,67–6,08 | 8,08 4,47–11,68 3,52–12,64 | 47% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,48 9,56–17,41 8,47–18,50 | 12,31 8,75–15,88 7,79–16,84 | 25,80 18,31–33,28 16,26–35,33 | 55% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,38 5,44–11,32 4,61–12,15 | 7,68 5,00–10,36 4,26–11,10 | 16,06 10,44–21,68 8,87–23,25 | 52% 38% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,82 1,93–5,70 1,39–6,24 | 3,14 1,49–4,79 0,99–5,28 | 6,95 3,42–10,49 2,38–11,53 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,15 2,93–7,36 2,36–7,93 | 4,53 2,53–6,53 2,00–7,07 | 9,68 5,47–13,90 4,36–15,00 | 51% 36% |
| Posesie % | 55,30 48,51–62,09 46,84–63,76 | 45,31 38,52–52,09 36,85–53,76 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 495 427–562 409–580 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 857 724–991 688–1027 | 86% 13% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,29 63,26–71,32 61,96–72,61 | 66,70 62,37–71,02 61,06–72,33 | — | 50% 44% |
| Faulturi | 13,81 10,97–16,65 10,22–17,40 | 12,44 9,49–15,38 8,75–16,13 | 26,25 20,47–32,03 18,96–33,54 | 57% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,34 | 1,81 0,72–2,90 0,43–3,19 | 3,69 1,43–5,94 0,84–6,53 | 41% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,16 1,12–3,21 0,85–3,48 | 2,04 0,91–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 4,21 2,03–6,38 1,47–6,94 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,58 1,14–4,02 0,76–4,40 | 2,71 1,16–4,27 0,73–4,69 | 5,29 2,30–8,29 1,49–9,10 | 39% 18% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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