La Liga·Etapa 21·
La Liga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
22%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,991,263,24sigur1,02–2,950,40–2,111,42–5,07mai sigur0,77–3,210,18–2,340,94–5,55
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,204,5310,73sigur4,34–8,062,78–6,277,12–14,33mai sigur3,85–8,552,32–6,746,17–15,29
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6612,6629,32sigur12,73–20,589,10–16,2221,83–36,80mai sigur11,64–21,678,14–17,1819,78–38,85
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,657,7019,36sigur8,71–14,605,02–10,3813,73–24,98mai sigur7,88–15,434,28–11,1212,17–26,55
Șuturi blocate
56%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,233,327,55sigur2,35–6,111,67–4,974,02–11,09mai sigur1,81–6,661,18–5,472,98–12,12
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,644,1110,76sigur4,43–8,862,11–6,116,54–14,97mai sigur3,86–9,431,58–6,655,44–16,08
Posesie %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7450,68sigur42,95–56,5343,89–57,46mai sigur41,28–58,2042,22–59,13
Pase
51%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție497493990sigur429–564427–560856–1123mai sigur411–582409–577820–1159
Precizie pase %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,5373,72sigur67,50–75,5669,39–78,04mai sigur66,21–76,8668,08–79,35
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8812,4023,28sigur8,04–13,729,45–15,3417,50–29,06mai sigur7,29–14,488,70–16,0915,99–30,57
Ofsaiduri
70%
15%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,181,554,73sigur2,02–4,340,46–2,652,47–6,98mai sigur1,71–4,640,17–2,931,89–7,57
Cartonașe galbene
36%
20%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,062,264,32sigur1,01–3,111,13–3,392,15–6,50mai sigur0,75–3,380,84–3,681,59–7,06
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,18sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
29%
14%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,214,207,41sigur1,77–4,642,64–5,754,41–10,40mai sigur1,38–5,032,22–6,183,60–11,21
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,99 1,02–2,95 0,77–3,21 | 1,26 0,40–2,11 0,18–2,34 | 3,24 1,42–5,07 0,94–5,55 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,20 4,34–8,06 3,85–8,55 | 4,53 2,78–6,27 2,32–6,74 | 10,73 7,12–14,33 6,17–15,29 | 64% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 16,66 12,73–20,58 11,64–21,67 | 12,66 9,10–16,22 8,14–17,18 | 29,32 21,83–36,80 19,78–38,85 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,65 8,71–14,60 7,88–15,43 | 7,70 5,02–10,38 4,28–11,12 | 19,36 13,73–24,98 12,17–26,55 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,23 2,35–6,11 1,81–6,66 | 3,32 1,67–4,97 1,18–5,47 | 7,55 4,02–11,09 2,98–12,12 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Cornere | 6,64 4,43–8,86 3,86–9,43 | 4,11 2,11–6,11 1,58–6,65 | 10,76 6,54–14,97 5,44–16,08 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 49,74 42,95–56,53 41,28–58,20 | 50,68 43,89–57,46 42,22–59,13 | — | 45% 50% |
| Pase | 497 429–564 411–582 | 493 427–560 409–577 | 990 856–1123 820–1159 | 51% 49% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,53 67,50–75,56 66,21–76,86 | 73,72 69,39–78,04 68,08–79,35 | — | 36% 59% |
| Faulturi | 10,88 8,04–13,72 7,29–14,48 | 12,40 9,45–15,34 8,70–16,09 | 23,28 17,50–29,06 15,99–30,57 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,18 2,02–4,34 1,71–4,64 | 1,55 0,46–2,65 0,17–2,93 | 4,73 2,47–6,98 1,89–7,57 | 70% 15% 16% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,06 1,01–3,11 0,75–3,38 | 2,26 1,13–3,39 0,84–3,68 | 4,32 2,15–6,50 1,59–7,06 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,21 1,77–4,64 1,38–5,03 | 4,20 2,64–5,75 2,22–6,18 | 7,41 4,41–10,40 3,60–11,21 | 29% 14% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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