La Liga·Etapa 21·
La Liga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
21%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,001,093,08sigur1,03–2,960,23–1,941,26–4,91mai sigur0,78–3,220,00–2,170,78–5,39
Șuturi pe poartă
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,103,619,71sigur4,24–7,971,87–5,356,11–13,32mai sigur3,75–8,451,40–5,825,15–14,27
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5310,5127,05sigur12,61–20,466,95–14,0819,56–34,53mai sigur11,52–21,555,99–15,0417,51–36,58
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,666,9017,56sigur7,71–13,604,22–9,5811,94–23,18mai sigur6,88–14,433,49–10,3210,37–24,75
Șuturi blocate
67%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,652,937,58sigur2,77–6,531,28–4,584,05–11,12mai sigur2,22–7,080,79–5,083,01–12,15
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,254,2810,53sigur4,04–8,462,28–6,286,31–14,74mai sigur3,46–9,041,74–6,815,21–15,85
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,4045,58sigur48,61–62,1938,80–52,37mai sigur46,94–63,8637,13–54,04
Pase
78%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție518425942sigur451–585358–491809–1076mai sigur432–603341–509773–1112
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,2768,09sigur62,25–70,3063,77–72,42mai sigur60,95–71,6062,46–73,73
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0812,4323,51sigur8,24–13,929,49–15,3817,73–29,30mai sigur7,49–14,678,74–16,1316,23–30,80
Ofsaiduri
42%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,931,813,75sigur0,77–3,090,72–2,901,49–6,00mai sigur0,47–3,400,43–3,190,90–6,59
Cartonașe galbene
27%
21%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,522,173,69sigur0,47–2,571,04–3,301,51–5,87mai sigur0,20–2,840,75–3,590,96–6,43
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,130,19sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,320,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,450,00–0,82
Parade portar
22%
14%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,564,006,56sigur1,12–4,002,44–5,553,57–9,55mai sigur0,74–4,382,02–5,982,75–10,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,00 1,03–2,96 0,78–3,22 | 1,09 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,17 | 3,08 1,26–4,91 0,78–5,39 | 58% 21% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,10 4,24–7,97 3,75–8,45 | 3,61 1,87–5,35 1,40–5,82 | 9,71 6,11–13,32 5,15–14,27 | 74% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 16,53 12,61–20,46 11,52–21,55 | 10,51 6,95–14,08 5,99–15,04 | 27,05 19,56–34,53 17,51–36,58 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,66 7,71–13,60 6,88–14,43 | 6,90 4,22–9,58 3,49–10,32 | 17,56 11,94–23,18 10,37–24,75 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,65 2,77–6,53 2,22–7,08 | 2,93 1,28–4,58 0,79–5,08 | 7,58 4,05–11,12 3,01–12,15 | 67% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,25 4,04–8,46 3,46–9,04 | 4,28 2,28–6,28 1,74–6,81 | 10,53 6,31–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 55,40 48,61–62,19 46,94–63,86 | 45,58 38,80–52,37 37,13–54,04 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 518 451–585 432–603 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 78% 22% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,27 62,25–70,30 60,95–71,60 | 68,09 63,77–72,42 62,46–73,73 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 11,08 8,24–13,92 7,49–14,67 | 12,43 9,49–15,38 8,74–16,13 | 23,51 17,73–29,30 16,23–30,80 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,47–3,40 | 1,81 0,72–2,90 0,43–3,19 | 3,75 1,49–6,00 0,90–6,59 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,52 0,47–2,57 0,20–2,84 | 2,17 1,04–3,30 0,75–3,59 | 3,69 1,51–5,87 0,96–6,43 | 27% 21% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,56 1,12–4,00 0,74–4,38 | 4,00 2,44–5,55 2,02–5,98 | 6,56 3,57–9,55 2,75–10,36 | 22% 14% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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