La Liga·Etapa 23·
La Liga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
22%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,950,962,91sigur0,98–2,920,11–1,821,09–4,74mai sigur0,73–3,170,00–2,050,61–5,22
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,603,388,98sigur3,74–7,461,64–5,135,38–12,59mai sigur3,25–7,951,18–5,594,42–13,54
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1210,4125,52sigur11,19–19,046,84–13,9718,03–33,01mai sigur10,10–20,135,88–14,9315,98–35,06
Șuturi din careu
76%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,976,6316,60sigur7,03–12,913,94–9,3110,97–22,22mai sigur6,20–13,743,21–10,049,41–23,79
Șuturi blocate
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,432,306,73sigur2,55–6,320,64–3,953,19–10,26mai sigur2,01–6,860,15–4,442,16–11,30
Cornere
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,753,739,48sigur3,54–7,961,73–5,735,26–13,69mai sigur2,96–8,541,19–6,264,15–14,80
Posesie %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,9837,35sigur56,19–69,7730,57–44,14mai sigur54,52–71,4428,90–45,81
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție600324924sigur533–667258–391791–1058mai sigur515–686240–408755–1094
Precizie pase %
81%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,6867,31sigur70,65–78,7162,99–71,63mai sigur69,36–80,0061,68–72,94
Faulturi
37%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6713,9526,61sigur9,83–15,5111,00–16,8920,83–32,40mai sigur9,08–16,2610,25–17,6419,33–33,90
Ofsaiduri
25%
18%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,722,614,32sigur0,56–2,881,51–3,702,07–6,58mai sigur0,25–3,181,22–3,991,48–7,16
Cartonașe galbene
22%
18%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,632,684,31sigur0,58–2,681,55–3,802,13–6,48mai sigur0,31–2,951,25–4,101,57–7,04
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,130,20sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,320,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,450,00–0,83
Parade portar
25%
15%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,363,475,83sigur0,93–3,801,91–5,022,84–8,82mai sigur0,54–4,191,49–5,452,03–9,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,95 0,98–2,92 0,73–3,17 | 0,96 0,11–1,82 0,00–2,05 | 2,91 1,09–4,74 0,61–5,22 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,60 3,74–7,46 3,25–7,95 | 3,38 1,64–5,13 1,18–5,59 | 8,98 5,38–12,59 4,42–13,54 | 72% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 15,12 11,19–19,04 10,10–20,13 | 10,41 6,84–13,97 5,88–14,93 | 25,52 18,03–33,01 15,98–35,06 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,97 7,03–12,91 6,20–13,74 | 6,63 3,94–9,31 3,21–10,04 | 16,60 10,97–22,22 9,41–23,79 | 76% 17% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,43 2,55–6,32 2,01–6,86 | 2,30 0,64–3,95 0,15–4,44 | 6,73 3,19–10,26 2,16–11,30 | 74% 15% |
| Cornere | 5,75 3,54–7,96 2,96–8,54 | 3,73 1,73–5,73 1,19–6,26 | 9,48 5,26–13,69 4,15–14,80 | 69% 20% |
| Posesie % | 62,98 56,19–69,77 54,52–71,44 | 37,35 30,57–44,14 28,90–45,81 | — | 93% |
| Pase | 600 533–667 515–686 | 324 258–391 240–408 | 924 791–1058 755–1094 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,68 70,65–78,71 69,36–80,00 | 67,31 62,99–71,63 61,68–72,94 | — | 81% 15% |
| Faulturi | 12,67 9,83–15,51 9,08–16,26 | 13,95 11,00–16,89 10,25–17,64 | 26,61 20,83–32,40 19,33–33,90 | 37% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,72 0,56–2,88 0,25–3,18 | 2,61 1,51–3,70 1,22–3,99 | 4,32 2,07–6,58 1,48–7,16 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,63 0,58–2,68 0,31–2,95 | 2,68 1,55–3,80 1,25–4,10 | 4,31 2,13–6,48 1,57–7,04 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,93–3,80 0,54–4,19 | 3,47 1,91–5,02 1,49–5,45 | 5,83 2,84–8,82 2,03–9,64 | 25% 15% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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