La Liga·Etapa 23·
La Liga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
24%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,740,982,73sigur0,77–2,710,13–1,840,90–4,55mai sigur0,52–2,960,00–2,070,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,513,438,95sigur3,65–7,371,69–5,185,34–12,55mai sigur3,16–7,861,23–5,644,39–13,51
Total șuturi
77%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8810,6225,50sigur10,95–18,807,06–14,1818,01–32,98mai sigur9,86–19,896,10–15,1415,96–35,03
Șuturi din careu
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,876,0315,91sigur6,93–12,813,35–8,7210,28–21,53mai sigur6,10–13,642,62–9,458,72–23,10
Șuturi blocate
60%
14%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,992,836,82sigur2,11–5,881,18–4,483,29–10,36mai sigur1,57–6,420,69–4,982,25–11,40
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,714,3510,05sigur3,49–7,922,35–6,355,84–14,27mai sigur2,92–8,491,81–6,884,73–15,37
Posesie %
67%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,5146,07sigur47,72–61,3039,29–52,86mai sigur46,05–62,9737,62–54,53
Pase
73%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție525451976sigur458–593384–517842–1110mai sigur440–611367–535807–1145
Precizie pase %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,0371,04sigur68,00–76,0666,72–75,36mai sigur66,71–77,3565,41–76,67
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5913,1124,70sigur8,76–14,4310,16–16,0518,92–30,48mai sigur8,00–15,199,41–16,8017,41–31,99
Ofsaiduri
47%
22%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,563,51sigur0,79–3,110,47–2,651,26–5,76mai sigur0,49–3,410,18–2,940,67–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
26%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,602,343,94sigur0,55–2,651,22–3,471,76–6,12mai sigur0,28–2,910,92–3,761,20–6,68
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,653,476,12sigur1,21–4,091,91–5,023,13–9,11mai sigur0,83–4,471,49–5,452,31–9,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,74 0,77–2,71 0,52–2,96 | 0,98 0,13–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 2,73 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,51 3,65–7,37 3,16–7,86 | 3,43 1,69–5,18 1,23–5,64 | 8,95 5,34–12,55 4,39–13,51 | 70% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 14,88 10,95–18,80 9,86–19,89 | 10,62 7,06–14,18 6,10–15,14 | 25,50 18,01–32,98 15,96–35,03 | 77% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,87 6,93–12,81 6,10–13,64 | 6,03 3,35–8,72 2,62–9,45 | 15,91 10,28–21,53 8,72–23,10 | 80% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,99 2,11–5,88 1,57–6,42 | 2,83 1,18–4,48 0,69–4,98 | 6,82 3,29–10,36 2,25–11,40 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Cornere | 5,71 3,49–7,92 2,92–8,49 | 4,35 2,35–6,35 1,81–6,88 | 10,05 5,84–14,27 4,73–15,37 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 54,51 47,72–61,30 46,05–62,97 | 46,07 39,29–52,86 37,62–54,53 | — | 67% 29% |
| Pase | 525 458–593 440–611 | 451 384–517 367–535 | 976 842–1110 807–1145 | 73% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,03 68,00–76,06 66,71–77,35 | 71,04 66,72–75,36 65,41–76,67 | — | 53% 42% |
| Faulturi | 11,59 8,76–14,43 8,00–15,19 | 13,11 10,16–16,05 9,41–16,80 | 24,70 18,92–30,48 17,41–31,99 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,95 0,79–3,11 0,49–3,41 | 1,56 0,47–2,65 0,18–2,94 | 3,51 1,26–5,76 0,67–6,35 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,28–2,91 | 2,34 1,22–3,47 0,92–3,76 | 3,94 1,76–6,12 1,20–6,68 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,65 1,21–4,09 0,83–4,47 | 3,47 1,91–5,02 1,49–5,45 | 6,12 3,13–9,11 2,31–9,92 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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