La Liga·Etapa 24·
La Liga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
26%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,172,60sigur0,46–2,400,31–2,020,78–4,42mai sigur0,21–2,650,09–2,250,30–4,90
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
13%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,764,068,82sigur2,90–6,622,32–5,805,21–12,42mai sigur2,41–7,111,85–6,274,26–13,38
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1512,7127,85sigur11,22–19,079,14–16,2720,36–35,34mai sigur10,13–20,168,18–17,2318,31–37,39
Șuturi din careu
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,047,7416,78sigur6,10–11,985,06–10,4211,15–22,40mai sigur5,27–12,814,32–11,169,59–23,97
Șuturi blocate
50%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,303,828,12sigur2,41–6,182,17–5,474,58–11,65mai sigur1,87–6,721,67–5,973,55–12,69
Cornere
60%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,884,5710,44sigur3,66–8,092,57–6,576,23–14,66mai sigur3,09–8,662,03–7,105,12–15,76
Posesie %
65%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,2046,78sigur47,41–60,9939,99–53,56mai sigur45,74–62,6638,32–55,23
Pase
77%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție499411910sigur432–567345–478777–1044mai sigur414–585327–495741–1080
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,5169,59sigur65,48–73,5465,26–73,91mai sigur64,19–74,8363,95–75,22
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7712,4723,24sigur7,93–13,619,53–15,4217,46–29,02mai sigur7,18–14,368,78–16,1615,95–30,53
Ofsaiduri
57%
21%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,111,273,38sigur0,95–3,270,18–2,361,12–5,63mai sigur0,64–3,570,00–2,650,53–6,22
Cartonașe galbene
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,243,91sigur0,62–2,721,11–3,371,73–6,08mai sigur0,35–2,980,82–3,661,17–6,64
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
39%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,813,005,81sigur1,38–4,251,44–4,552,82–8,80mai sigur0,99–4,641,02–4,982,01–9,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,40 0,21–2,65 | 1,17 0,31–2,02 0,09–2,25 | 2,60 0,78–4,42 0,30–4,90 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,76 2,90–6,62 2,41–7,11 | 4,06 2,32–5,80 1,85–6,27 | 8,82 5,21–12,42 4,26–13,38 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total șuturi | 15,15 11,22–19,07 10,13–20,16 | 12,71 9,14–16,27 8,18–17,23 | 27,85 20,36–35,34 18,31–37,39 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,04 6,10–11,98 5,27–12,81 | 7,74 5,06–10,42 4,32–11,16 | 16,78 11,15–22,40 9,59–23,97 | 58% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,30 2,41–6,18 1,87–6,72 | 3,82 2,17–5,47 1,67–5,97 | 8,12 4,58–11,65 3,55–12,69 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,88 3,66–8,09 3,09–8,66 | 4,57 2,57–6,57 2,03–7,10 | 10,44 6,23–14,66 5,12–15,76 | 60% 29% |
| Posesie % | 54,20 47,41–60,99 45,74–62,66 | 46,78 39,99–53,56 38,32–55,23 | — | 65% 31% |
| Pase | 499 432–567 414–585 | 411 345–478 327–495 | 910 777–1044 741–1080 | 77% 23% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,51 65,48–73,54 64,19–74,83 | 69,59 65,26–73,91 63,95–75,22 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 10,77 7,93–13,61 7,18–14,36 | 12,47 9,53–15,42 8,78–16,16 | 23,24 17,46–29,02 15,95–30,53 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,11 0,95–3,27 0,64–3,57 | 1,27 0,18–2,36 0,00–2,65 | 3,38 1,12–5,63 0,53–6,22 | 57% 21% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,35–2,98 | 2,24 1,11–3,37 0,82–3,66 | 3,91 1,73–6,08 1,17–6,64 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,81 1,38–4,25 0,99–4,64 | 3,00 1,44–4,55 1,02–4,98 | 5,81 2,82–8,80 2,01–9,61 | 39% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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