La Liga·Etapa 24·
La Liga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
27%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,132,53sigur0,43–2,370,27–1,980,70–4,35mai sigur0,18–2,620,04–2,210,23–4,83
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
13%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,613,678,27sigur2,74–6,471,92–5,414,67–11,88mai sigur2,25–6,961,46–5,873,71–12,83
Total șuturi
61%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2911,4024,69sigur9,37–17,227,84–14,9617,20–32,18mai sigur8,28–18,316,88–15,9215,15–34,23
Șuturi din careu
45%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,647,5915,23sigur4,70–10,584,91–10,279,61–20,86mai sigur3,87–11,414,17–11,018,04–22,42
Șuturi blocate
53%
16%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,512,796,30sigur1,63–5,401,13–4,442,77–9,84mai sigur1,09–5,940,64–4,931,73–10,87
Cornere
56%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,214,229,43sigur2,99–7,422,22–6,225,22–13,64mai sigur2,42–7,991,69–6,764,11–14,75
Posesie %
64%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,6746,53sigur46,88–60,4639,75–53,32mai sigur45,21–62,1338,08–54,99
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție516439955sigur449–584372–505821–1089mai sigur431–602355–523786–1124
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5070,62sigur64,47–72,5366,30–74,95mai sigur63,18–73,8264,99–76,25
Faulturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2414,3827,62sigur10,41–16,0811,43–17,3221,84–33,40mai sigur9,65–16,8410,68–18,0720,33–34,91
Ofsaiduri
19%
16%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,612,914,51sigur0,45–2,771,81–4,002,26–6,77mai sigur0,15–3,071,52–4,291,67–7,35
Cartonașe galbene
34%
18%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,222,614,82sigur1,17–3,271,48–3,742,65–7,00mai sigur0,90–3,531,19–4,032,09–7,56
Cartonașe roșii
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,170,28sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,350,00–0,63mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,490,00–0,91
Parade portar
28%
16%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,413,325,73sigur0,98–3,851,76–4,872,74–8,72mai sigur0,59–4,241,34–5,301,93–9,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,43–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 1,13 0,27–1,98 0,04–2,21 | 2,53 0,70–4,35 0,23–4,83 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,61 2,74–6,47 2,25–6,96 | 3,67 1,92–5,41 1,46–5,87 | 8,27 4,67–11,88 3,71–12,83 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 13,29 9,37–17,22 8,28–18,31 | 11,40 7,84–14,96 6,88–15,92 | 24,69 17,20–32,18 15,15–34,23 | 61% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,64 4,70–10,58 3,87–11,41 | 7,59 4,91–10,27 4,17–11,01 | 15,23 9,61–20,86 8,04–22,42 | 45% 44% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,51 1,63–5,40 1,09–5,94 | 2,79 1,13–4,44 0,64–4,93 | 6,30 2,77–9,84 1,73–10,87 | 53% 16% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,21 2,99–7,42 2,42–7,99 | 4,22 2,22–6,22 1,69–6,76 | 9,43 5,22–13,64 4,11–14,75 | 56% 31% |
| Posesie % | 53,67 46,88–60,46 45,21–62,13 | 46,53 39,75–53,32 38,08–54,99 | — | 64% 32% |
| Pase | 516 449–584 431–602 | 439 372–505 355–523 | 955 821–1089 786–1124 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,50 64,47–72,53 63,18–73,82 | 70,62 66,30–74,95 64,99–76,25 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 13,24 10,41–16,08 9,65–16,84 | 14,38 11,43–17,32 10,68–18,07 | 27,62 21,84–33,40 20,33–34,91 | 38% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 2,91 1,81–4,00 1,52–4,29 | 4,51 2,26–6,77 1,67–7,35 | 19% 16% 64% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,22 1,17–3,27 0,90–3,53 | 2,61 1,48–3,74 1,19–4,03 | 4,82 2,65–7,00 2,09–7,56 | 34% 18% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,35 0,00–0,49 | 0,28 0,00–0,63 0,00–0,91 | 77% 14% |
| Parade portar | 2,41 0,98–3,85 0,59–4,24 | 3,32 1,76–4,87 1,34–5,30 | 5,73 2,74–8,72 1,93–9,54 | 28% 16% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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