La Liga·Etapa 24·
La Liga·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
27%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,281,262,54sigur0,31–2,240,41–2,120,72–4,36mai sigur0,06–2,500,18–2,350,24–4,84
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
14%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,144,468,60sigur2,27–6,002,72–6,204,99–12,20mai sigur1,78–6,492,25–6,674,04–13,16
Total șuturi
24%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5214,5526,06sigur7,59–15,4410,99–18,1118,58–33,55mai sigur6,50–16,5310,03–19,0716,53–35,60
Șuturi din careu
29%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,489,2116,69sigur4,54–10,426,53–11,8911,06–22,31mai sigur3,71–11,255,79–12,639,50–23,88
Șuturi blocate
43%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,503,466,95sigur1,62–5,381,80–5,113,42–10,49mai sigur1,07–5,921,31–5,602,38–11,53
Cornere
43%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,904,989,88sigur2,69–7,122,98–6,985,67–14,10mai sigur2,11–7,692,45–7,514,56–15,20
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,7544,74sigur48,96–62,5437,95–51,52mai sigur47,29–64,2136,28–53,20
Pase
85%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție485361846sigur418–552295–428713–980mai sigur400–570277–445677–1016
Precizie pase %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6567,51sigur63,62–71,6863,19–71,84mai sigur62,33–72,9761,88–73,15
Faulturi
36%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4714,9028,38sigur10,64–16,3111,96–17,8522,59–34,16mai sigur9,88–17,0711,21–18,5921,09–35,66
Ofsaiduri
23%
19%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,532,463,99sigur0,37–2,691,37–3,551,74–6,24mai sigur0,07–2,991,08–3,841,15–6,83
Cartonașe galbene
35%
18%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,372,735,10sigur1,32–3,421,60–3,862,93–7,28mai sigur1,06–3,691,31–4,152,37–7,84
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,130,24sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,310,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,450,00–0,87
Parade portar
48%
17%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,172,755,92sigur1,74–4,611,19–4,302,93–8,91mai sigur1,35–5,000,77–4,732,11–9,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,28 0,31–2,24 0,06–2,50 | 1,26 0,41–2,12 0,18–2,35 | 2,54 0,72–4,36 0,24–4,84 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,14 2,27–6,00 1,78–6,49 | 4,46 2,72–6,20 2,25–6,67 | 8,60 4,99–12,20 4,04–13,16 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 11,52 7,59–15,44 6,50–16,53 | 14,55 10,99–18,11 10,03–19,07 | 26,06 18,58–33,55 16,53–35,60 | 24% 69% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,48 4,54–10,42 3,71–11,25 | 9,21 6,53–11,89 5,79–12,63 | 16,69 11,06–22,31 9,50–23,88 | 29% 62% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,50 1,62–5,38 1,07–5,92 | 3,46 1,80–5,11 1,31–5,60 | 6,95 3,42–10,49 2,38–11,53 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,90 2,69–7,12 2,11–7,69 | 4,98 2,98–6,98 2,45–7,51 | 9,88 5,67–14,10 4,56–15,20 | 43% 45% |
| Posesie % | 55,75 48,96–62,54 47,29–64,21 | 44,74 37,95–51,52 36,28–53,20 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 485 418–552 400–570 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 85% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,65 63,62–71,68 62,33–72,97 | 67,51 63,19–71,84 61,88–73,15 | — | 48% 47% |
| Faulturi | 13,47 10,64–16,31 9,88–17,07 | 14,90 11,96–17,85 11,21–18,59 | 28,38 22,59–34,16 21,09–35,66 | 36% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,53 0,37–2,69 0,07–2,99 | 2,46 1,37–3,55 1,08–3,84 | 3,99 1,74–6,24 1,15–6,83 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,37 1,32–3,42 1,06–3,69 | 2,73 1,60–3,86 1,31–4,15 | 5,10 2,93–7,28 2,37–7,84 | 35% 18% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,17 1,74–4,61 1,35–5,00 | 2,75 1,19–4,30 0,77–4,73 | 5,92 2,93–8,91 2,11–9,72 | 48% 17% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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