La Liga·Etapa 25·
La Liga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,280,883,16sigur1,31–3,250,02–1,731,34–4,98mai sigur1,06–3,500,00–1,960,86–5,46
Șuturi pe poartă
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,652,809,45sigur4,78–8,511,06–4,555,84–13,05mai sigur4,29–9,000,59–5,014,89–14,01
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,069,0626,12sigur13,13–20,985,49–12,6218,63–33,60mai sigur12,04–22,074,54–13,5816,58–35,65
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,755,2217,97sigur9,81–15,692,54–7,9012,34–23,59mai sigur8,98–16,521,80–8,6310,78–25,16
Șuturi blocate
75%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,482,256,73sigur2,60–6,360,60–3,913,20–10,27mai sigur2,06–6,910,11–4,402,16–11,30
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,923,1410,06sigur4,71–9,141,14–5,145,85–14,27mai sigur4,14–9,710,60–5,674,74–15,38
Posesie %
74%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,2444,59sigur49,45–63,0337,81–51,38mai sigur47,78–64,7036,13–53,05
Pase
83%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție540423963sigur473–607357–490829–1097mai sigur454–625339–507794–1132
Precizie pase %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,3571,63sigur70,32–78,3867,30–75,95mai sigur69,03–79,6765,99–77,26
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3911,6724,06sigur9,55–15,238,73–14,6218,28–29,85mai sigur8,80–15,997,98–15,3716,78–31,35
Ofsaiduri
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,571,404,97sigur2,41–4,730,30–2,492,71–7,22mai sigur2,11–5,030,02–2,782,13–7,81
Cartonașe galbene
38%
21%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,972,094,06sigur0,92–3,020,96–3,221,88–6,24mai sigur0,66–3,290,67–3,511,32–6,80
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,320,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,994,326,30sigur0,55–3,422,76–5,873,31–9,30mai sigur0,16–3,812,34–6,302,50–10,11
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,28 1,31–3,25 1,06–3,50 | 0,88 0,02–1,73 0,00–1,96 | 3,16 1,34–4,98 0,86–5,46 | 69% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,65 4,78–8,51 4,29–9,00 | 2,80 1,06–4,55 0,59–5,01 | 9,45 5,84–13,05 4,89–14,01 | 87% |
| Total șuturi | 17,06 13,13–20,98 12,04–22,07 | 9,06 5,49–12,62 4,54–13,58 | 26,12 18,63–33,60 16,58–35,65 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,75 9,81–15,69 8,98–16,52 | 5,22 2,54–7,90 1,80–8,63 | 17,97 12,34–23,59 10,78–25,16 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,48 2,60–6,36 2,06–6,91 | 2,25 0,60–3,91 0,11–4,40 | 6,73 3,20–10,27 2,16–11,30 | 75% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,92 4,71–9,14 4,14–9,71 | 3,14 1,14–5,14 0,60–5,67 | 10,06 5,85–14,27 4,74–15,38 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 56,24 49,45–63,03 47,78–64,70 | 44,59 37,81–51,38 36,13–53,05 | — | 74% 23% |
| Pase | 540 473–607 454–625 | 423 357–490 339–507 | 963 829–1097 794–1132 | 83% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,35 70,32–78,38 69,03–79,67 | 71,63 67,30–75,95 65,99–77,26 | — | 61% 34% |
| Faulturi | 12,39 9,55–15,23 8,80–15,99 | 11,67 8,73–14,62 7,98–15,37 | 24,06 18,28–29,85 16,78–31,35 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,57 2,41–4,73 2,11–5,03 | 1,40 0,30–2,49 0,02–2,78 | 4,97 2,71–7,22 2,13–7,81 | 78% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,97 0,92–3,02 0,66–3,29 | 2,09 0,96–3,22 0,67–3,51 | 4,06 1,88–6,24 1,32–6,80 | 38% 21% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 1,99 0,55–3,42 0,16–3,81 | 4,32 2,76–5,87 2,34–6,30 | 6,30 3,31–9,30 2,50–10,11 | 77% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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