La Liga·Etapa 25·
La Liga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
65%
20%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,080,902,98sigur1,12–3,050,04–1,751,16–4,80mai sigur0,86–3,300,00–1,980,68–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,513,069,57sigur4,65–8,371,32–4,805,97–13,18mai sigur4,16–8,860,85–5,275,01–14,13
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,309,4827,78sigur14,38–22,235,92–13,0420,29–35,27mai sigur13,29–23,324,96–14,0018,24–37,32
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,466,3018,76sigur9,52–15,403,62–8,9813,14–24,38mai sigur8,69–16,232,88–9,7211,57–25,95
Șuturi blocate
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,112,617,73sigur3,23–6,990,96–4,274,19–11,26mai sigur2,69–7,540,47–4,763,16–12,30
Cornere
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,603,5310,14sigur4,39–8,821,53–5,535,92–14,35mai sigur3,82–9,391,00–6,074,82–15,46
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,2339,09sigur53,44–67,0232,31–45,88mai sigur51,77–68,6930,64–47,55
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție589367956sigur521–656301–434822–1090mai sigur503–674284–451787–1126
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,7968,17sigur72,76–80,8263,85–72,49mai sigur71,47–82,1162,54–73,80
Faulturi
40%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2211,9023,12sigur8,38–14,068,95–14,8417,33–28,90mai sigur7,62–14,818,21–15,5915,83–30,40
Ofsaiduri
58%
19%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,391,463,85sigur1,23–3,550,36–2,551,60–6,10mai sigur0,93–3,850,08–2,841,01–6,69
Cartonașe galbene
26%
21%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,173,67sigur0,45–2,551,04–3,301,49–5,85mai sigur0,18–2,810,75–3,590,93–6,40
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
17%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,184,066,24sigur0,74–3,612,51–5,623,25–9,23mai sigur0,35–4,002,08–6,042,44–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,08 1,12–3,05 0,86–3,30 | 0,90 0,04–1,75 0,00–1,98 | 2,98 1,16–4,80 0,68–5,28 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,51 4,65–8,37 4,16–8,86 | 3,06 1,32–4,80 0,85–5,27 | 9,57 5,97–13,18 5,01–14,13 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 18,30 14,38–22,23 13,29–23,32 | 9,48 5,92–13,04 4,96–14,00 | 27,78 20,29–35,27 18,24–37,32 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,46 9,52–15,40 8,69–16,23 | 6,30 3,62–8,98 2,88–9,72 | 18,76 13,14–24,38 11,57–25,95 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,11 3,23–6,99 2,69–7,54 | 2,61 0,96–4,27 0,47–4,76 | 7,73 4,19–11,26 3,16–12,30 | 76% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,60 4,39–8,82 3,82–9,39 | 3,53 1,53–5,53 1,00–6,07 | 10,14 5,92–14,35 4,82–15,46 | 79% |
| Posesie % | 60,23 53,44–67,02 51,77–68,69 | 39,09 32,31–45,88 30,64–47,55 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 589 521–656 503–674 | 367 301–434 284–451 | 956 822–1090 787–1126 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,79 72,76–80,82 71,47–82,11 | 68,17 63,85–72,49 62,54–73,80 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 11,22 8,38–14,06 7,62–14,81 | 11,90 8,95–14,84 8,21–15,59 | 23,12 17,33–28,90 15,83–30,40 | 40% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,39 1,23–3,55 0,93–3,85 | 1,46 0,36–2,55 0,08–2,84 | 3,85 1,60–6,10 1,01–6,69 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,18–2,81 | 2,17 1,04–3,30 0,75–3,59 | 3,67 1,49–5,85 0,93–6,40 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,18 0,74–3,61 0,35–4,00 | 4,06 2,51–5,62 2,08–6,04 | 6,24 3,25–9,23 2,44–10,05 | 17% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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