La Liga·Etapa 26·
La Liga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
26%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,411,112,53sigur0,45–2,380,26–1,970,71–4,35mai sigur0,19–2,630,03–2,200,23–4,83
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
13%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,693,598,28sigur2,83–6,551,85–5,334,68–11,89mai sigur2,34–7,041,38–5,803,72–12,84
Total șuturi
71%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4511,1325,57sigur10,52–18,377,57–14,6918,09–33,06mai sigur9,43–19,466,61–15,6516,04–35,11
Șuturi din careu
60%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,476,9315,41sigur5,53–11,414,25–9,619,78–21,03mai sigur4,70–12,243,52–10,358,22–22,60
Șuturi blocate
55%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,163,297,45sigur2,28–6,051,64–4,943,92–10,99mai sigur1,74–6,591,14–5,442,88–12,02
Cornere
59%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,224,009,22sigur3,01–7,442,00–6,005,01–13,43mai sigur2,44–8,011,47–6,533,90–14,54
Posesie %
74%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,1144,17sigur49,32–62,9037,38–50,95mai sigur47,65–64,5735,71–52,63
Pase
84%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție503384887sigur436–570318–451754–1021mai sigur418–588300–468718–1057
Precizie pase %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,9169,07sigur66,88–74,9464,75–73,40mai sigur65,59–76,2363,44–74,71
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8612,9724,83sigur9,02–14,7010,03–15,9219,05–30,62mai sigur8,27–15,459,28–16,6717,55–32,12
Ofsaiduri
42%
24%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,403,00sigur0,44–2,760,31–2,490,74–5,25mai sigur0,14–3,060,02–2,780,15–5,84
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,952,204,15sigur0,90–3,001,07–3,331,97–6,32mai sigur0,63–3,260,78–3,621,41–6,88
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
32%
17%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,503,095,58sigur1,06–3,931,53–4,642,59–8,58mai sigur0,67–4,321,11–5,071,78–9,39
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,41 0,45–2,38 0,19–2,63 | 1,11 0,26–1,97 0,03–2,20 | 2,53 0,71–4,35 0,23–4,83 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,69 2,83–6,55 2,34–7,04 | 3,59 1,85–5,33 1,38–5,80 | 8,28 4,68–11,89 3,72–12,84 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,45 10,52–18,37 9,43–19,46 | 11,13 7,57–14,69 6,61–15,65 | 25,57 18,09–33,06 16,04–35,11 | 71% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,47 5,53–11,41 4,70–12,24 | 6,93 4,25–9,61 3,52–10,35 | 15,41 9,78–21,03 8,22–22,60 | 60% 30% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,16 2,28–6,05 1,74–6,59 | 3,29 1,64–4,94 1,14–5,44 | 7,45 3,92–10,99 2,88–12,02 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,22 3,01–7,44 2,44–8,01 | 4,00 2,00–6,00 1,47–6,53 | 9,22 5,01–13,43 3,90–14,54 | 59% 28% |
| Posesie % | 56,11 49,32–62,90 47,65–64,57 | 44,17 37,38–50,95 35,71–52,63 | — | 74% 22% |
| Pase | 503 436–570 418–588 | 384 318–451 300–468 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 84% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,91 66,88–74,94 65,59–76,23 | 69,07 64,75–73,40 63,44–74,71 | — | 57% 38% |
| Faulturi | 11,86 9,02–14,70 8,27–15,45 | 12,97 10,03–15,92 9,28–16,67 | 24,83 19,05–30,62 17,55–32,12 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,06 | 1,40 0,31–2,49 0,02–2,78 | 3,00 0,74–5,25 0,15–5,84 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,95 0,90–3,00 0,63–3,26 | 2,20 1,07–3,33 0,78–3,62 | 4,15 1,97–6,32 1,41–6,88 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,50 1,06–3,93 0,67–4,32 | 3,09 1,53–4,64 1,11–5,07 | 5,58 2,59–8,58 1,78–9,39 | 32% 17% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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