La Liga·Etapa 26·
La Liga·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
23%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,212,96sigur0,79–2,720,35–2,061,14–4,79mai sigur0,54–2,980,12–2,290,66–5,27
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,713,919,63sigur3,85–7,572,17–5,666,02–13,23mai sigur3,36–8,061,71–6,125,07–14,19
Total șuturi
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0011,4426,44sigur11,08–18,937,88–15,0018,95–33,93mai sigur9,99–20,026,92–15,9616,90–35,98
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,227,3617,58sigur7,28–13,174,68–10,0411,96–23,20mai sigur6,45–14,003,94–10,7810,39–24,77
Șuturi blocate
58%
14%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,273,187,45sigur2,39–6,151,53–4,843,91–10,99mai sigur1,84–6,691,04–5,332,88–12,02
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,004,0810,08sigur3,79–8,222,08–6,085,87–14,29mai sigur3,22–8,791,54–6,614,76–15,40
Posesie %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,8350,20sigur44,04–57,6243,42–56,99mai sigur42,37–59,2941,75–58,66
Pase
57%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție484464948sigur417–552397–530814–1082mai sigur399–570380–548779–1117
Precizie pase %
16%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,2670,39sigur59,23–67,2966,07–74,71mai sigur57,94–68,5864,76–76,02
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9112,5124,41sigur9,07–14,749,56–15,4518,63–30,19mai sigur8,31–15,508,81–16,2017,12–31,70
Ofsaiduri
59%
17%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,021,985,00sigur1,86–4,180,89–3,072,75–7,26mai sigur1,56–4,480,60–3,362,16–7,85
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,324,23sigur0,86–2,961,19–3,452,05–6,41mai sigur0,60–3,230,90–3,741,50–6,97
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,140,23sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,330,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,460,00–0,86
Parade portar
26%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,746,36sigur1,19–4,062,18–5,303,37–9,36mai sigur0,80–4,451,76–5,722,56–10,17
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,79–2,72 0,54–2,98 | 1,21 0,35–2,06 0,12–2,29 | 2,96 1,14–4,79 0,66–5,27 | 50% 23% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,71 3,85–7,57 3,36–8,06 | 3,91 2,17–5,66 1,71–6,12 | 9,63 6,02–13,23 5,07–14,19 | 66% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 15,00 11,08–18,93 9,99–20,02 | 11,44 7,88–15,00 6,92–15,96 | 26,44 18,95–33,93 16,90–35,98 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,22 7,28–13,17 6,45–14,00 | 7,36 4,68–10,04 3,94–10,78 | 17,58 11,96–23,20 10,39–24,77 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,27 2,39–6,15 1,84–6,69 | 3,18 1,53–4,84 1,04–5,33 | 7,45 3,91–10,99 2,88–12,02 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Cornere | 6,00 3,79–8,22 3,22–8,79 | 4,08 2,08–6,08 1,54–6,61 | 10,08 5,87–14,29 4,76–15,40 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 50,83 44,04–57,62 42,37–59,29 | 50,20 43,42–56,99 41,75–58,66 | — | 49% 46% |
| Pase | 484 417–552 399–570 | 464 397–530 380–548 | 948 814–1082 779–1117 | 57% 43% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,26 59,23–67,29 57,94–68,58 | 70,39 66,07–74,71 64,76–76,02 | — | 16% 80% |
| Faulturi | 11,91 9,07–14,74 8,31–15,50 | 12,51 9,56–15,45 8,81–16,20 | 24,41 18,63–30,19 17,12–31,70 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,02 1,86–4,18 1,56–4,48 | 1,98 0,89–3,07 0,60–3,36 | 5,00 2,75–7,26 2,16–7,85 | 59% 17% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,86–2,96 0,60–3,23 | 2,32 1,19–3,45 0,90–3,74 | 4,23 2,05–6,41 1,50–6,97 | 33% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,19–4,06 0,80–4,45 | 3,74 2,18–5,30 1,76–5,72 | 6,36 3,37–9,36 2,56–10,17 | 26% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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