La Liga·Etapa 27·
La Liga·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
27%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,152,45sigur0,34–2,280,29–2,000,63–4,28mai sigur0,09–2,530,06–2,230,15–4,76
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,563,748,30sigur2,69–6,422,00–5,484,69–11,90mai sigur2,20–6,911,53–5,953,74–12,86
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2210,6025,82sigur11,29–19,147,04–14,1618,33–33,31mai sigur10,20–20,246,08–15,1216,28–35,36
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,206,7115,91sigur6,26–12,144,03–9,3910,28–21,53mai sigur5,43–12,973,29–10,138,72–23,10
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,743,437,17sigur1,85–5,621,78–5,083,63–10,70mai sigur1,31–6,161,28–5,572,59–11,74
Cornere
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,274,459,73sigur3,06–7,492,45–6,455,51–13,94mai sigur2,49–8,061,92–6,984,40–15,05
Posesie %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,2452,68sigur40,45–54,0345,89–59,46mai sigur38,78–55,7044,22–61,13
Pase
42%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție407432839sigur340–474365–498705–972mai sigur322–492348–516669–1008
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,3868,67sigur59,35–67,4164,34–72,99mai sigur58,06–68,7063,03–74,30
Faulturi
27%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4514,1225,57sigur8,62–14,2911,17–17,0619,79–31,35mai sigur7,86–15,0510,42–17,8118,28–32,86
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,011,763,77sigur0,85–3,170,67–2,851,52–6,03mai sigur0,55–3,470,38–3,140,93–6,61
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,962,354,30sigur0,91–3,011,22–3,482,12–6,48mai sigur0,64–3,270,93–3,771,57–7,04
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,523,315,82sigur1,08–3,951,75–4,862,83–8,81mai sigur0,69–4,341,33–5,292,02–9,63
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,31 0,34–2,28 0,09–2,53 | 1,15 0,29–2,00 0,06–2,23 | 2,45 0,63–4,28 0,15–4,76 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,56 2,69–6,42 2,20–6,91 | 3,74 2,00–5,48 1,53–5,95 | 8,30 4,69–11,90 3,74–12,86 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 15,22 11,29–19,14 10,20–20,24 | 10,60 7,04–14,16 6,08–15,12 | 25,82 18,33–33,31 16,28–35,36 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,20 6,26–12,14 5,43–12,97 | 6,71 4,03–9,39 3,29–10,13 | 15,91 10,28–21,53 8,72–23,10 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,74 1,85–5,62 1,31–6,16 | 3,43 1,78–5,08 1,28–5,57 | 7,17 3,63–10,70 2,59–11,74 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,27 3,06–7,49 2,49–8,06 | 4,45 2,45–6,45 1,92–6,98 | 9,73 5,51–13,94 4,40–15,05 | 54% 33% |
| Posesie % | 47,24 40,45–54,03 38,78–55,70 | 52,68 45,89–59,46 44,22–61,13 | — | 35% 60% |
| Pase | 407 340–474 322–492 | 432 365–498 348–516 | 839 705–972 669–1008 | 42% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,38 59,35–67,41 58,06–68,70 | 68,67 64,34–72,99 63,03–74,30 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 11,45 8,62–14,29 7,86–15,05 | 14,12 11,17–17,06 10,42–17,81 | 25,57 19,79–31,35 18,28–32,86 | 27% 67% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,01 0,85–3,17 0,55–3,47 | 1,76 0,67–2,85 0,38–3,14 | 3,77 1,52–6,03 0,93–6,61 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,64–3,27 | 2,35 1,22–3,48 0,93–3,77 | 4,30 2,12–6,48 1,57–7,04 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,52 1,08–3,95 0,69–4,34 | 3,31 1,75–4,86 1,33–5,29 | 5,82 2,83–8,81 2,02–9,63 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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