La Liga·Etapa 28·
La Liga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
68%
18%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,360,973,33sigur1,39–3,330,11–1,821,51–5,15mai sigur1,14–3,580,00–2,051,03–5,63
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,003,5510,55sigur5,14–8,861,81–5,296,95–14,16mai sigur4,65–9,351,34–5,765,99–15,11
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,819,9328,75sigur14,89–22,746,37–13,4921,26–36,23mai sigur13,80–23,835,41–14,4519,21–38,28
Șuturi din careu
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,046,9118,95sigur9,09–14,984,23–9,5913,33–24,57mai sigur8,27–15,813,50–10,3311,76–26,14
Șuturi blocate
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,312,207,52sigur3,43–7,190,55–3,863,98–11,05mai sigur2,89–7,740,06–4,352,95–12,09
Cornere
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,933,8810,81sigur4,72–9,141,88–5,886,60–15,02mai sigur4,14–9,721,35–6,415,49–16,13
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,6937,48sigur55,90–69,4830,70–44,27mai sigur54,23–71,1529,03–45,94
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție625359984sigur558–693293–425851–1118mai sigur540–711275–443815–1154
Precizie pase %
82%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,1769,43sigur73,14–81,2065,11–73,76mai sigur71,85–82,4963,80–75,06
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6312,1022,72sigur7,79–13,479,15–15,0416,94–28,51mai sigur7,03–14,228,40–15,7915,44–30,01
Ofsaiduri
34%
19%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,022,364,39sigur0,86–3,181,27–3,462,13–6,64mai sigur0,56–3,490,98–3,741,54–7,23
Cartonașe galbene
22%
20%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,392,303,69sigur0,34–2,441,17–3,431,52–5,87mai sigur0,07–2,710,88–3,720,96–6,43
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,364,476,83sigur0,92–3,802,92–6,033,84–9,82mai sigur0,54–4,182,49–6,453,03–10,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,36 1,39–3,33 1,14–3,58 | 0,97 0,11–1,82 0,00–2,05 | 3,33 1,51–5,15 1,03–5,63 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,00 5,14–8,86 4,65–9,35 | 3,55 1,81–5,29 1,34–5,76 | 10,55 6,95–14,16 5,99–15,11 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 18,81 14,89–22,74 13,80–23,83 | 9,93 6,37–13,49 5,41–14,45 | 28,75 21,26–36,23 19,21–38,28 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,04 9,09–14,98 8,27–15,81 | 6,91 4,23–9,59 3,50–10,33 | 18,95 13,33–24,57 11,76–26,14 | 86% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,31 3,43–7,19 2,89–7,74 | 2,20 0,55–3,86 0,06–4,35 | 7,52 3,98–11,05 2,95–12,09 | 83% |
| Cornere | 6,93 4,72–9,14 4,14–9,72 | 3,88 1,88–5,88 1,35–6,41 | 10,81 6,60–15,02 5,49–16,13 | 78% 14% |
| Posesie % | 62,69 55,90–69,48 54,23–71,15 | 37,48 30,70–44,27 29,03–45,94 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 625 558–693 540–711 | 359 293–425 275–443 | 984 851–1118 815–1154 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,17 73,14–81,20 71,85–82,49 | 69,43 65,11–73,76 63,80–75,06 | — | 82% 14% |
| Faulturi | 10,63 7,79–13,47 7,03–14,22 | 12,10 9,15–15,04 8,40–15,79 | 22,72 16,94–28,51 15,44–30,01 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,02 0,86–3,18 0,56–3,49 | 2,36 1,27–3,46 0,98–3,74 | 4,39 2,13–6,64 1,54–7,23 | 34% 19% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,39 0,34–2,44 0,07–2,71 | 2,30 1,17–3,43 0,88–3,72 | 3,69 1,52–5,87 0,96–6,43 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,92–3,80 0,54–4,18 | 4,47 2,92–6,03 2,49–6,45 | 6,83 3,84–9,82 3,03–10,64 | 15% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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