La Liga·Etapa 28·
La Liga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,632,89sigur0,30–2,230,77–2,481,07–4,72mai sigur0,05–2,480,54–2,710,59–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
13%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,064,908,96sigur2,20–5,923,16–6,645,36–12,57mai sigur1,71–6,412,69–7,114,40–13,52
Total șuturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1112,8224,93sigur8,19–16,049,26–16,3817,44–32,42mai sigur7,10–17,138,30–17,3415,39–34,47
Șuturi din careu
25%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,409,7017,10sigur4,46–10,347,02–12,3811,47–22,72mai sigur3,63–11,176,28–13,129,91–24,29
Șuturi blocate
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,413,466,86sigur1,52–5,291,81–5,113,33–10,40mai sigur0,98–5,831,31–5,602,29–11,44
Cornere
36%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,525,099,61sigur2,31–6,743,09–7,095,40–13,83mai sigur1,74–7,312,55–7,624,29–14,93
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,5551,18sigur42,76–56,3444,39–57,96mai sigur41,09–58,0142,72–59,63
Pase
45%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție459475934sigur392–527408–541800–1068mai sigur374–545391–559765–1103
Precizie pase %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,1473,05sigur62,11–70,1768,72–77,37mai sigur60,82–71,4667,41–78,68
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7314,2527,98sigur10,89–16,5711,31–17,2022,20–33,76mai sigur10,14–17,3210,56–17,9520,70–35,27
Ofsaiduri
14%
14%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,533,284,81sigur0,37–2,692,19–4,372,55–7,06mai sigur0,07–2,991,90–4,661,96–7,65
Cartonașe galbene
39%
18%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,462,575,03sigur1,41–3,511,44–3,702,86–7,21mai sigur1,15–3,781,15–3,992,30–7,77
Cartonașe roșii
14%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,180,150,33sigur0,02–0,340,00–0,340,00–0,68mai sigur0,00–0,490,00–0,470,00–0,96
Parade portar
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,362,856,22sigur1,93–4,801,30–4,413,22–9,21mai sigur1,54–5,190,87–4,832,41–10,02
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,23 0,05–2,48 | 1,63 0,77–2,48 0,54–2,71 | 2,89 1,07–4,72 0,59–5,19 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,06 2,20–5,92 1,71–6,41 | 4,90 3,16–6,64 2,69–7,11 | 8,96 5,36–12,57 4,40–13,52 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 12,11 8,19–16,04 7,10–17,13 | 12,82 9,26–16,38 8,30–17,34 | 24,93 17,44–32,42 15,39–34,47 | 40% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,40 4,46–10,34 3,63–11,17 | 9,70 7,02–12,38 6,28–13,12 | 17,10 11,47–22,72 9,91–24,29 | 25% 67% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,41 1,52–5,29 0,98–5,83 | 3,46 1,81–5,11 1,31–5,60 | 6,86 3,33–10,40 2,29–11,44 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,52 2,31–6,74 1,74–7,31 | 5,09 3,09–7,09 2,55–7,62 | 9,61 5,40–13,83 4,29–14,93 | 36% 51% |
| Posesie % | 49,55 42,76–56,34 41,09–58,01 | 51,18 44,39–57,96 42,72–59,63 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 459 392–527 374–545 | 475 408–541 391–559 | 934 800–1068 765–1103 | 45% 55% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,14 62,11–70,17 60,82–71,46 | 73,05 68,72–77,37 67,41–78,68 | — | 17% 80% |
| Faulturi | 13,73 10,89–16,57 10,14–17,32 | 14,25 11,31–17,20 10,56–17,95 | 27,98 22,20–33,76 20,70–35,27 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,53 0,37–2,69 0,07–2,99 | 3,28 2,19–4,37 1,90–4,66 | 4,81 2,55–7,06 1,96–7,65 | 14% 14% 72% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,46 1,41–3,51 1,15–3,78 | 2,57 1,44–3,70 1,15–3,99 | 5,03 2,86–7,21 2,30–7,77 | 39% 18% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,18 0,02–0,34 0,00–0,49 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,33 0,00–0,68 0,00–0,96 | 14% 74% |
| Parade portar | 3,36 1,93–4,80 1,54–5,19 | 2,85 1,30–4,41 0,87–4,83 | 6,22 3,22–9,21 2,41–10,02 | 50% 16% 34% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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