La Liga·Etapa 28·
La Liga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
25%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,181,592,78sigur0,22–2,150,74–2,450,96–4,60mai sigur0,00–2,400,51–2,680,48–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,485,339,81sigur2,62–6,343,59–7,086,21–13,42mai sigur2,13–6,833,13–7,545,25–14,37
Total șuturi
33%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3415,1628,50sigur9,42–17,2711,60–18,7221,02–35,99mai sigur8,33–18,3610,64–19,6818,97–38,04
Șuturi din careu
35%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,409,4817,88sigur5,46–11,346,79–12,1612,25–23,50mai sigur4,63–12,176,06–12,8910,69–25,07
Șuturi blocate
36%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,724,187,91sigur1,84–5,602,53–5,844,37–11,44mai sigur1,30–6,152,04–6,333,33–12,48
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,715,1210,83sigur3,49–7,923,12–7,126,61–15,04mai sigur2,92–8,492,59–7,655,51–16,15
Posesie %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7649,61sigur42,97–56,5542,82–56,39mai sigur41,30–58,2241,15–58,06
Pase
55%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție456441896sigur388–523374–507763–1030mai sigur370–541357–525727–1066
Precizie pase %
32%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,2869,50sigur62,25–70,3165,17–73,82mai sigur60,95–71,6063,86–75,13
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1412,0524,19sigur9,30–14,979,11–15,0018,41–29,97mai sigur8,54–15,738,36–15,7516,90–31,48
Ofsaiduri
41%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,891,823,71sigur0,73–3,050,73–2,911,45–5,96mai sigur0,43–3,350,44–3,200,86–6,55
Cartonașe galbene
40%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,072,074,14sigur1,02–3,120,94–3,201,97–6,32mai sigur0,76–3,390,65–3,491,41–6,88
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,110,22sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,290,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,430,00–0,85
Parade portar
46%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,343,066,41sigur1,91–4,781,51–4,623,41–9,40mai sigur1,52–5,171,08–5,042,60–10,21
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,18 0,22–2,15 0,00–2,40 | 1,59 0,74–2,45 0,51–2,68 | 2,78 0,96–4,60 0,48–5,08 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,48 2,62–6,34 2,13–6,83 | 5,33 3,59–7,08 3,13–7,54 | 9,81 6,21–13,42 5,25–14,37 | 33% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 13,34 9,42–17,27 8,33–18,36 | 15,16 11,60–18,72 10,64–19,68 | 28,50 21,02–35,99 18,97–38,04 | 33% 60% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,40 5,46–11,34 4,63–12,17 | 9,48 6,79–12,16 6,06–12,89 | 17,88 12,25–23,50 10,69–25,07 | 35% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,72 1,84–5,60 1,30–6,15 | 4,18 2,53–5,84 2,04–6,33 | 7,91 4,37–11,44 3,33–12,48 | 36% 14% 49% |
| Cornere | 5,71 3,49–7,92 2,92–8,49 | 5,12 3,12–7,12 2,59–7,65 | 10,83 6,61–15,04 5,51–16,15 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 49,76 42,97–56,55 41,30–58,22 | 49,61 42,82–56,39 41,15–58,06 | — | 48% 47% |
| Pase | 456 388–523 370–541 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 55% 45% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,28 62,25–70,31 60,95–71,60 | 69,50 65,17–73,82 63,86–75,13 | — | 32% 64% |
| Faulturi | 12,14 9,30–14,97 8,54–15,73 | 12,05 9,11–15,00 8,36–15,75 | 24,19 18,41–29,97 16,90–31,48 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,89 0,73–3,05 0,43–3,35 | 1,82 0,73–2,91 0,44–3,20 | 3,71 1,45–5,96 0,86–6,55 | 41% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,07 1,02–3,12 0,76–3,39 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 4,14 1,97–6,32 1,41–6,88 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,34 1,91–4,78 1,52–5,17 | 3,06 1,51–4,62 1,08–5,04 | 6,41 3,41–9,40 2,60–10,21 | 46% 16% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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