La Liga·Etapa 28·
La Liga·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,500,873,37sigur1,53–3,470,02–1,731,55–5,19mai sigur1,28–3,720,00–1,951,07–5,67
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,313,4210,73sigur5,45–9,171,68–5,167,13–14,34mai sigur4,96–9,661,21–5,636,17–15,29
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,909,7628,66sigur14,98–22,836,20–13,3321,18–36,15mai sigur13,89–23,925,24–14,2819,13–38,20
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,886,3519,23sigur9,93–15,823,67–9,0313,61–24,85mai sigur9,10–16,652,93–9,7712,04–26,42
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,102,477,57sigur3,22–6,980,81–4,124,03–11,10mai sigur2,67–7,520,32–4,612,99–12,14
Cornere
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,963,5410,49sigur4,74–9,171,54–5,546,28–14,70mai sigur4,17–9,741,00–6,075,17–15,81
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,6239,19sigur54,83–68,4132,41–45,98mai sigur53,16–70,0830,74–47,65
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție578362940sigur511–645296–429807–1074mai sigur492–663278–446771–1110
Precizie pase %
76%
20%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4968,59sigur70,46–78,5164,27–72,92mai sigur69,16–79,8162,96–74,22
Faulturi
15%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0514,6124,66sigur7,21–12,8811,67–17,5618,88–30,44mai sigur6,45–13,6410,92–18,3117,37–31,95
Ofsaiduri
37%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,743,41sigur0,51–2,830,65–2,831,15–5,66mai sigur0,20–3,130,36–3,120,56–6,25
Cartonașe galbene
24%
20%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,313,77sigur0,41–2,511,18–3,441,59–5,95mai sigur0,15–2,780,89–3,731,04–6,51
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,120,17sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,310,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,440,00–0,80
Parade portar
15%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,464,757,21sigur1,03–3,903,19–6,304,22–10,20mai sigur0,64–4,292,76–6,733,40–11,01
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,50 1,53–3,47 1,28–3,72 | 0,87 0,02–1,73 0,00–1,95 | 3,37 1,55–5,19 1,07–5,67 | 73% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,31 5,45–9,17 4,96–9,66 | 3,42 1,68–5,16 1,21–5,63 | 10,73 7,13–14,34 6,17–15,29 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 18,90 14,98–22,83 13,89–23,92 | 9,76 6,20–13,33 5,24–14,28 | 28,66 21,18–36,15 19,13–38,20 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,88 9,93–15,82 9,10–16,65 | 6,35 3,67–9,03 2,93–9,77 | 19,23 13,61–24,85 12,04–26,42 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,10 3,22–6,98 2,67–7,52 | 2,47 0,81–4,12 0,32–4,61 | 7,57 4,03–11,10 2,99–12,14 | 78% |
| Cornere | 6,96 4,74–9,17 4,17–9,74 | 3,54 1,54–5,54 1,00–6,07 | 10,49 6,28–14,70 5,17–15,81 | 82% |
| Posesie % | 61,62 54,83–68,41 53,16–70,08 | 39,19 32,41–45,98 30,74–47,65 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 578 511–645 492–663 | 362 296–429 278–446 | 940 807–1074 771–1110 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,49 70,46–78,51 69,16–79,81 | 68,59 64,27–72,92 62,96–74,22 | — | 76% 20% |
| Faulturi | 10,05 7,21–12,88 6,45–13,64 | 14,61 11,67–17,56 10,92–18,31 | 24,66 18,88–30,44 17,37–31,95 | 15% 79% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,67 0,51–2,83 0,20–3,13 | 1,74 0,65–2,83 0,36–3,12 | 3,41 1,15–5,66 0,56–6,25 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,46 0,41–2,51 0,15–2,78 | 2,31 1,18–3,44 0,89–3,73 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,04–6,51 | 24% 20% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,46 1,03–3,90 0,64–4,29 | 4,75 3,19–6,30 2,76–6,73 | 7,21 4,22–10,20 3,40–11,01 | 15% 75% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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