La Liga·Etapa 29·
La Liga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
14%
17%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,092,523,61sigur0,12–2,051,67–3,381,78–5,43mai sigur0,00–2,301,44–3,601,30–5,91
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,427,1910,62sigur1,56–5,295,45–8,947,01–14,22mai sigur1,07–5,784,99–9,406,06–15,18
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9918,8428,83sigur6,06–13,9115,28–22,4121,34–36,32mai sigur4,97–15,0014,32–23,3619,29–38,37
Șuturi din careu
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,6712,2418,90sigur3,72–9,619,56–14,9213,28–24,53mai sigur2,90–10,448,82–15,6511,71–26,09
Șuturi blocate
17%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,744,857,59sigur0,86–4,623,20–6,514,06–11,13mai sigur0,32–5,172,71–7,003,02–12,16
Cornere
21%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,056,0610,10sigur1,83–6,264,06–8,065,89–14,31mai sigur1,26–6,833,52–8,594,78–15,42
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,5159,74sigur34,72–48,3052,96–66,53mai sigur33,05–49,9751,29–68,20
Pase
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție404582986sigur337–471515–648852–1120mai sigur319–490498–666817–1156
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,0477,02sigur61,02–69,0772,70–81,35mai sigur59,72–70,3771,39–82,66
Faulturi
53%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2011,2823,48sigur9,36–15,048,33–14,2217,69–29,26mai sigur8,61–15,797,58–14,9716,19–30,76
Ofsaiduri
40%
18%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,532,585,12sigur1,37–3,691,49–3,682,86–7,37mai sigur1,07–4,001,20–3,962,27–7,96
Cartonașe galbene
50%
20%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,261,733,99sigur1,21–3,310,60–2,861,82–6,17mai sigur0,94–3,580,31–3,151,26–6,73
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,100,23sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,280,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,410,00–0,86
Parade portar
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,772,577,34sigur3,34–6,211,01–4,124,35–10,33mai sigur2,95–6,600,59–4,553,54–11,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,09 0,12–2,05 0,00–2,30 | 2,52 1,67–3,38 1,44–3,60 | 3,61 1,78–5,43 1,30–5,91 | 14% 17% 69% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,42 1,56–5,29 1,07–5,78 | 7,19 5,45–8,94 4,99–9,40 | 10,62 7,01–14,22 6,06–15,18 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 9,99 6,06–13,91 4,97–15,00 | 18,84 15,28–22,41 14,32–23,36 | 28,83 21,34–36,32 19,29–38,37 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,67 3,72–9,61 2,90–10,44 | 12,24 9,56–14,92 8,82–15,65 | 18,90 13,28–24,53 11,71–26,09 | 88% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,74 0,86–4,62 0,32–5,17 | 4,85 3,20–6,51 2,71–7,00 | 7,59 4,06–11,13 3,02–12,16 | 17% 72% |
| Cornere | 4,05 1,83–6,26 1,26–6,83 | 6,06 4,06–8,06 3,52–8,59 | 10,10 5,89–14,31 4,78–15,42 | 21% 68% |
| Posesie % | 41,51 34,72–48,30 33,05–49,97 | 59,74 52,96–66,53 51,29–68,20 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 404 337–471 319–490 | 582 515–648 498–666 | 986 852–1120 817–1156 | 93% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,04 61,02–69,07 59,72–70,37 | 77,02 72,70–81,35 71,39–82,66 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 12,20 9,36–15,04 8,61–15,79 | 11,28 8,33–14,22 7,58–14,97 | 23,48 17,69–29,26 16,19–30,76 | 53% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,53 1,37–3,69 1,07–4,00 | 2,58 1,49–3,68 1,20–3,96 | 5,12 2,86–7,37 2,27–7,96 | 40% 18% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,26 1,21–3,31 0,94–3,58 | 1,73 0,60–2,86 0,31–3,15 | 3,99 1,82–6,17 1,26–6,73 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 4,77 3,34–6,21 2,95–6,60 | 2,57 1,01–4,12 0,59–4,55 | 7,34 4,35–10,33 3,54–11,15 | 74% 15% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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