La Liga·Etapa 29·
La Liga·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,530,853,38sigur1,56–3,500,00–1,711,56–5,21mai sigur1,31–3,750,00–1,931,08–5,69
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,843,159,98sigur4,97–8,701,40–4,896,38–13,59mai sigur4,48–9,190,94–5,355,42–14,54
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,569,4227,97sigur14,63–22,485,85–12,9820,48–35,46mai sigur13,54–23,574,89–13,9418,43–37,51
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,326,0518,37sigur9,38–15,263,37–8,7312,75–23,99mai sigur8,55–16,092,63–9,4711,18–25,56
Șuturi blocate
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,852,667,51sigur2,96–6,731,01–4,313,97–11,04mai sigur2,42–7,270,51–4,812,93–12,08
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,863,6410,50sigur4,65–9,081,64–5,646,29–14,72mai sigur4,07–9,651,11–6,185,18–15,83
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,0840,09sigur53,29–66,8733,30–46,87mai sigur51,62–68,5431,63–48,55
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție587389976sigur519–654323–456842–1109mai sigur501–672305–473806–1145
Precizie pase %
79%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,3569,57sigur72,32–80,3865,25–73,89mai sigur71,03–81,6763,94–75,20
Faulturi
35%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1113,6225,73sigur9,27–14,9510,68–16,5719,95–31,52mai sigur8,52–15,709,93–17,3218,45–33,02
Ofsaiduri
57%
20%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,231,383,61sigur1,07–3,390,28–2,471,36–5,86mai sigur0,77–3,700,00–2,760,77–6,45
Cartonașe galbene
22%
19%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,422,353,77sigur0,37–2,471,22–3,481,59–5,95mai sigur0,11–2,740,93–3,771,03–6,51
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,130,19sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,320,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,450,00–0,82
Parade portar
16%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,284,336,60sigur0,84–3,712,77–5,883,61–9,59mai sigur0,45–4,102,35–6,312,80–10,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,53 1,56–3,50 1,31–3,75 | 0,85 0,00–1,71 0,00–1,93 | 3,38 1,56–5,21 1,08–5,69 | 74% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,84 4,97–8,70 4,48–9,19 | 3,15 1,40–4,89 0,94–5,35 | 9,98 6,38–13,59 5,42–14,54 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 18,56 14,63–22,48 13,54–23,57 | 9,42 5,85–12,98 4,89–13,94 | 27,97 20,48–35,46 18,43–37,51 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,32 9,38–15,26 8,55–16,09 | 6,05 3,37–8,73 2,63–9,47 | 18,37 12,75–23,99 11,18–25,56 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,85 2,96–6,73 2,42–7,27 | 2,66 1,01–4,31 0,51–4,81 | 7,51 3,97–11,04 2,93–12,08 | 73% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,86 4,65–9,08 4,07–9,65 | 3,64 1,64–5,64 1,11–6,18 | 10,50 6,29–14,72 5,18–15,83 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 60,08 53,29–66,87 51,62–68,54 | 40,09 33,30–46,87 31,63–48,55 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 587 519–654 501–672 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 976 842–1109 806–1145 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,35 72,32–80,38 71,03–81,67 | 69,57 65,25–73,89 63,94–75,20 | — | 79% 17% |
| Faulturi | 12,11 9,27–14,95 8,52–15,70 | 13,62 10,68–16,57 9,93–17,32 | 25,73 19,95–31,52 18,45–33,02 | 35% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,23 1,07–3,39 0,77–3,70 | 1,38 0,28–2,47 0,00–2,76 | 3,61 1,36–5,86 0,77–6,45 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,42 0,37–2,47 0,11–2,74 | 2,35 1,22–3,48 0,93–3,77 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,03–6,51 | 22% 19% 58% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,28 0,84–3,71 0,45–4,10 | 4,33 2,77–5,88 2,35–6,31 | 6,60 3,61–9,59 2,80–10,41 | 16% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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