La Liga·Etapa 30·
La Liga·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
23%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,193,00sigur0,84–2,780,33–2,041,18–4,82mai sigur0,59–3,030,10–2,270,70–5,30
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,034,0210,05sigur4,17–7,892,27–5,766,44–13,65mai sigur3,68–8,381,81–6,225,49–14,61
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6710,3727,04sigur12,75–20,606,80–13,9319,55–34,53mai sigur11,66–21,695,84–14,8917,50–36,58
Șuturi din careu
76%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,737,1817,91sigur7,78–13,674,50–9,8712,29–23,53mai sigur6,96–14,503,77–10,6010,72–25,10
Șuturi blocate
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,942,327,25sigur3,06–6,820,66–3,973,72–10,79mai sigur2,51–7,360,17–4,462,68–11,83
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,823,839,65sigur3,60–8,031,83–5,835,43–13,86mai sigur3,03–8,611,29–6,364,32–14,97
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,2541,68sigur51,46–65,0434,90–48,47mai sigur49,79–66,7133,22–50,14
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5934101003sigur525–660343–476869–1136mai sigur507–678326–494833–1172
Precizie pase %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,2270,39sigur71,19–79,2566,06–74,71mai sigur69,90–80,5464,75–76,02
Faulturi
25%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4913,2823,77sigur7,65–13,3310,34–16,2317,99–29,55mai sigur6,90–14,089,59–16,9716,48–31,06
Ofsaiduri
16%
16%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,392,884,27sigur0,23–2,551,79–3,972,01–6,52mai sigur0,00–2,851,50–4,261,42–7,11
Cartonașe galbene
21%
18%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,564,02sigur0,41–2,511,43–3,691,84–6,20mai sigur0,14–2,771,14–3,981,28–6,75
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
22%
14%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,624,086,70sigur1,18–4,062,52–5,643,71–9,69mai sigur0,80–4,442,10–6,062,90–10,50
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,81 0,84–2,78 0,59–3,03 | 1,19 0,33–2,04 0,10–2,27 | 3,00 1,18–4,82 0,70–5,30 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,03 4,17–7,89 3,68–8,38 | 4,02 2,27–5,76 1,81–6,22 | 10,05 6,44–13,65 5,49–14,61 | 68% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 16,67 12,75–20,60 11,66–21,69 | 10,37 6,80–13,93 5,84–14,89 | 27,04 19,55–34,53 17,50–36,58 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,73 7,78–13,67 6,96–14,50 | 7,18 4,50–9,87 3,77–10,60 | 17,91 12,29–23,53 10,72–25,10 | 76% 17% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,94 3,06–6,82 2,51–7,36 | 2,32 0,66–3,97 0,17–4,46 | 7,25 3,72–10,79 2,68–11,83 | 79% |
| Cornere | 5,82 3,60–8,03 3,03–8,61 | 3,83 1,83–5,83 1,29–6,36 | 9,65 5,43–13,86 4,32–14,97 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 58,25 51,46–65,04 49,79–66,71 | 41,68 34,90–48,47 33,22–50,14 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 593 525–660 507–678 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 1003 869–1136 833–1172 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,22 71,19–79,25 69,90–80,54 | 70,39 66,06–74,71 64,75–76,02 | — | 71% 25% |
| Faulturi | 10,49 7,65–13,33 6,90–14,08 | 13,28 10,34–16,23 9,59–16,97 | 23,77 17,99–29,55 16,48–31,06 | 25% 68% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,39 0,23–2,55 0,00–2,85 | 2,88 1,79–3,97 1,50–4,26 | 4,27 2,01–6,52 1,42–7,11 | 16% 16% 68% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,46 0,41–2,51 0,14–2,77 | 2,56 1,43–3,69 1,14–3,98 | 4,02 1,84–6,20 1,28–6,75 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,18–4,06 0,80–4,44 | 4,08 2,52–5,64 2,10–6,06 | 6,70 3,71–9,69 2,90–10,50 | 22% 14% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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