La Liga·Etapa 30·
La Liga·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,122,95sigur0,86–2,800,26–1,971,13–4,77mai sigur0,61–3,050,03–2,200,65–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,843,789,62sigur3,98–7,712,04–5,526,02–13,23mai sigur3,49–8,201,57–5,995,06–14,18
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,9010,8027,70sigur12,98–20,837,24–14,3620,22–35,19mai sigur11,89–21,926,28–15,3218,17–37,24
Șuturi din careu
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,297,2518,54sigur8,35–14,244,57–9,9312,92–24,17mai sigur7,52–15,063,83–10,6711,35–25,73
Șuturi blocate
71%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,922,897,81sigur3,04–6,801,24–4,554,28–11,35mai sigur2,49–7,340,75–5,043,24–12,38
Cornere
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,024,3310,35sigur3,81–8,232,33–6,336,14–14,56mai sigur3,23–8,811,80–6,865,03–15,67
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,3345,30sigur48,54–62,1238,51–52,08mai sigur46,87–63,7936,84–53,75
Pase
84%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție526406931sigur459–593339–472798–1065mai sigur440–611322–490762–1101
Precizie pase %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,8268,10sigur62,79–70,8463,77–72,42mai sigur61,49–72,1462,47–73,73
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3511,0621,41sigur7,51–13,198,12–14,0015,63–27,19mai sigur6,76–13,957,37–14,7514,12–28,70
Ofsaiduri
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,992,014,00sigur0,83–3,150,92–3,111,75–6,25mai sigur0,53–3,450,63–3,391,16–6,84
Cartonașe galbene
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,411,853,26sigur0,36–2,460,72–2,981,08–5,44mai sigur0,09–2,720,43–3,270,53–6,00
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,534,026,55sigur1,09–3,962,46–5,583,56–9,54mai sigur0,71–4,352,04–6,002,75–10,35
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,83 0,86–2,80 0,61–3,05 | 1,12 0,26–1,97 0,03–2,20 | 2,95 1,13–4,77 0,65–5,25 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,84 3,98–7,71 3,49–8,20 | 3,78 2,04–5,52 1,57–5,99 | 9,62 6,02–13,23 5,06–14,18 | 69% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 16,90 12,98–20,83 11,89–21,92 | 10,80 7,24–14,36 6,28–15,32 | 27,70 20,22–35,19 18,17–37,24 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,29 8,35–14,24 7,52–15,06 | 7,25 4,57–9,93 3,83–10,67 | 18,54 12,92–24,17 11,35–25,73 | 80% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,92 3,04–6,80 2,49–7,34 | 2,89 1,24–4,55 0,75–5,04 | 7,81 4,28–11,35 3,24–12,38 | 71% 18% |
| Cornere | 6,02 3,81–8,23 3,23–8,81 | 4,33 2,33–6,33 1,80–6,86 | 10,35 6,14–14,56 5,03–15,67 | 64% 25% |
| Posesie % | 55,33 48,54–62,12 46,87–63,79 | 45,30 38,51–52,08 36,84–53,75 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 526 459–593 440–611 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 84% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,82 62,79–70,84 61,49–72,14 | 68,10 63,77–72,42 62,47–73,73 | — | 41% 54% |
| Faulturi | 10,35 7,51–13,19 6,76–13,95 | 11,06 8,12–14,00 7,37–14,75 | 21,41 15,63–27,19 14,12–28,70 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,99 0,83–3,15 0,53–3,45 | 2,01 0,92–3,11 0,63–3,39 | 4,00 1,75–6,25 1,16–6,84 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,41 0,36–2,46 0,09–2,72 | 1,85 0,72–2,98 0,43–3,27 | 3,26 1,08–5,44 0,53–6,00 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,53 1,09–3,96 0,71–4,35 | 4,02 2,46–5,58 2,04–6,00 | 6,55 3,56–9,54 2,75–10,35 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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