La Liga·Etapa 31·
La Liga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
14%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,802,653,44sigur0,00–1,771,79–3,501,62–5,27mai sigur0,00–2,021,56–3,731,14–5,75
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,076,749,81sigur1,21–4,935,00–8,486,21–13,42mai sigur0,72–5,424,53–8,955,25–14,37
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3118,3728,69sigur6,39–14,2414,81–21,9421,20–36,17mai sigur5,30–15,3313,85–22,8919,15–38,22
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,3712,0618,43sigur3,43–9,319,38–14,7412,81–24,05mai sigur2,60–10,148,64–15,4811,24–25,62
Șuturi blocate
17%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,965,118,06sigur1,08–4,843,45–6,764,53–11,60mai sigur0,53–5,382,96–7,253,49–12,64
Cornere
16%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,496,009,49sigur1,28–5,714,00–8,005,28–13,71mai sigur0,71–6,283,47–8,534,17–14,82
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție36,6664,11sigur29,87–43,4557,32–70,89mai sigur28,20–45,1255,65–72,56
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție353598951sigur286–420532–665818–1085mai sigur268–439514–682782–1121
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,7378,05sigur59,71–67,7673,72–82,37mai sigur58,41–69,0672,41–83,68
Faulturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7011,1525,85sigur11,87–17,548,20–14,0920,07–31,63mai sigur11,11–18,307,45–14,8418,56–33,14
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,643,28sigur0,48–2,800,54–2,731,03–5,53mai sigur0,18–3,110,26–3,020,44–6,12
Cartonașe galbene
56%
18%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,591,764,34sigur1,54–3,640,63–2,892,17–6,52mai sigur1,27–3,900,34–3,181,61–7,08
Cartonașe roșii
14%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,170,080,24sigur0,01–0,330,00–0,260,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,480,00–0,400,00–0,87
Parade portar
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,442,306,73sigur3,00–5,870,74–3,853,74–9,72mai sigur2,61–6,260,32–4,282,93–10,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,80 0,00–1,77 0,00–2,02 | 2,65 1,79–3,50 1,56–3,73 | 3,44 1,62–5,27 1,14–5,75 | 14% 77% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,07 1,21–4,93 0,72–5,42 | 6,74 5,00–8,48 4,53–8,95 | 9,81 6,21–13,42 5,25–14,37 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 10,31 6,39–14,24 5,30–15,33 | 18,37 14,81–21,94 13,85–22,89 | 28,69 21,20–36,17 19,15–38,22 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,37 3,43–9,31 2,60–10,14 | 12,06 9,38–14,74 8,64–15,48 | 18,43 12,81–24,05 11,24–25,62 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,96 1,08–4,84 0,53–5,38 | 5,11 3,45–6,76 2,96–7,25 | 8,06 4,53–11,60 3,49–12,64 | 17% 72% |
| Cornere | 3,49 1,28–5,71 0,71–6,28 | 6,00 4,00–8,00 3,47–8,53 | 9,49 5,28–13,71 4,17–14,82 | 16% 74% |
| Posesie % | 36,66 29,87–43,45 28,20–45,12 | 64,11 57,32–70,89 55,65–72,56 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 353 286–420 268–439 | 598 532–665 514–682 | 951 818–1085 782–1121 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,73 59,71–67,76 58,41–69,06 | 78,05 73,72–82,37 72,41–83,68 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 14,70 11,87–17,54 11,11–18,30 | 11,15 8,20–14,09 7,45–14,84 | 25,85 20,07–31,63 18,56–33,14 | 73% 21% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,11 | 1,64 0,54–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,28 1,03–5,53 0,44–6,12 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,59 1,54–3,64 1,27–3,90 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 4,34 2,17–6,52 1,61–7,08 | 56% 18% 26% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,17 0,01–0,33 0,00–0,48 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 14% 79% |
| Parade portar | 4,44 3,00–5,87 2,61–6,26 | 2,30 0,74–3,85 0,32–4,28 | 6,73 3,74–9,72 2,93–10,54 | 74% 15% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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