La Liga·Etapa 31·
La Liga·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
27%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,380,982,36sigur0,41–2,350,13–1,840,54–4,19mai sigur0,16–2,600,00–2,060,06–4,66
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,603,137,73sigur2,74–6,461,39–4,874,13–11,34mai sigur2,25–6,950,92–5,343,17–12,29
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,349,2923,63sigur10,42–18,275,73–12,8516,14–31,12mai sigur9,32–19,364,77–13,8114,09–33,17
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,885,9614,84sigur5,94–11,823,27–8,649,21–20,46mai sigur5,11–12,652,54–9,377,65–22,03
Șuturi blocate
59%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,752,656,40sigur1,87–5,641,00–4,302,87–9,94mai sigur1,33–6,180,51–4,801,83–10,97
Cornere
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,403,729,12sigur3,19–7,611,72–5,724,91–13,34mai sigur2,61–8,191,19–6,263,80–14,45
Posesie %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,7253,06sigur40,93–54,5146,27–59,84mai sigur39,26–56,1844,60–61,51
Pase
48%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție443450893sigur376–511384–517760–1027mai sigur358–529366–534724–1063
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,5971,82sigur63,56–71,6267,50–76,15mai sigur62,27–72,9166,19–77,45
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2313,6625,88sigur9,39–15,0610,71–16,6020,10–31,67mai sigur8,63–15,829,96–17,3518,60–33,17
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,713,44sigur0,57–2,890,62–2,801,18–5,69mai sigur0,27–3,190,33–3,090,59–6,28
Cartonașe galbene
34%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,002,304,29sigur0,95–3,041,17–3,432,12–6,47mai sigur0,68–3,310,88–3,721,56–7,03
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,130,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,320,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,450,00–0,83
Parade portar
24%
16%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,103,195,29sigur0,66–3,531,63–4,752,30–8,28mai sigur0,27–3,921,21–5,171,48–9,09
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,35 0,16–2,60 | 0,98 0,13–1,84 0,00–2,06 | 2,36 0,54–4,19 0,06–4,66 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,60 2,74–6,46 2,25–6,95 | 3,13 1,39–4,87 0,92–5,34 | 7,73 4,13–11,34 3,17–12,29 | 64% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 14,34 10,42–18,27 9,32–19,36 | 9,29 5,73–12,85 4,77–13,81 | 23,63 16,14–31,12 14,09–33,17 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,88 5,94–11,82 5,11–12,65 | 5,96 3,27–8,64 2,54–9,37 | 14,84 9,21–20,46 7,65–22,03 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,75 1,87–5,64 1,33–6,18 | 2,65 1,00–4,30 0,51–4,80 | 6,40 2,87–9,94 1,83–10,97 | 59% 15% 26% |
| Cornere | 5,40 3,19–7,61 2,61–8,19 | 3,72 1,72–5,72 1,19–6,26 | 9,12 4,91–13,34 3,80–14,45 | 65% 23% |
| Posesie % | 47,72 40,93–54,51 39,26–56,18 | 53,06 46,27–59,84 44,60–61,51 | — | 35% 60% |
| Pase | 443 376–511 358–529 | 450 384–517 366–534 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 48% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,59 63,56–71,62 62,27–72,91 | 71,82 67,50–76,15 66,19–77,45 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 12,23 9,39–15,06 8,63–15,82 | 13,66 10,71–16,60 9,96–17,35 | 25,88 20,10–31,67 18,60–33,17 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,73 0,57–2,89 0,27–3,19 | 1,71 0,62–2,80 0,33–3,09 | 3,44 1,18–5,69 0,59–6,28 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,00 0,95–3,04 0,68–3,31 | 2,30 1,17–3,43 0,88–3,72 | 4,29 2,12–6,47 1,56–7,03 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,38 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,10 0,66–3,53 0,27–3,92 | 3,19 1,63–4,75 1,21–5,17 | 5,29 2,30–8,28 1,48–9,09 | 24% 16% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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