La Liga·Etapa 32·
La Liga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
28%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,211,162,37sigur0,24–2,180,30–2,010,55–4,19mai sigur0,00–2,430,08–2,240,07–4,67
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
14%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,124,428,54sigur2,26–5,982,68–6,174,94–12,15mai sigur1,77–6,472,22–6,633,98–13,10
Total șuturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2913,2126,50sigur9,37–17,229,64–16,7719,01–33,99mai sigur8,28–18,318,68–17,7316,96–36,04
Șuturi din careu
49%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,147,7315,87sigur5,20–11,085,05–10,4110,25–21,49mai sigur4,37–11,914,31–11,158,68–23,06
Șuturi blocate
38%
15%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,453,767,21sigur1,57–5,332,11–5,423,68–10,75mai sigur1,02–5,871,62–5,912,64–11,78
Cornere
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,024,789,80sigur2,80–7,232,78–6,785,59–14,02mai sigur2,23–7,812,25–7,324,48–15,12
Posesie %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,8355,64sigur38,04–51,6248,85–62,42mai sigur36,37–53,2947,18–64,09
Pase
26%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție372449821sigur305–439383–516688–955mai sigur287–457365–533652–991
Precizie pase %
16%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,7869,93sigur58,75–66,8165,60–74,25mai sigur57,46–68,1064,29–75,56
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7312,6725,40sigur9,90–15,579,72–15,6119,62–31,18mai sigur9,14–16,338,97–16,3618,11–32,69
Ofsaiduri
43%
21%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,111,924,03sigur0,95–3,270,83–3,021,78–6,28mai sigur0,65–3,570,54–3,301,19–6,87
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,042,314,35sigur0,99–3,091,18–3,442,17–6,53mai sigur0,72–3,350,89–3,731,62–7,09
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,120,24sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,310,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,440,00–0,87
Parade portar
42%
18%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,752,695,43sigur1,31–4,181,13–4,242,44–8,42mai sigur0,92–4,570,71–4,671,63–9,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,21 0,24–2,18 0,00–2,43 | 1,16 0,30–2,01 0,08–2,24 | 2,37 0,55–4,19 0,07–4,67 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,12 2,26–5,98 1,77–6,47 | 4,42 2,68–6,17 2,22–6,63 | 8,54 4,94–12,15 3,98–13,10 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 13,29 9,37–17,22 8,28–18,31 | 13,21 9,64–16,77 8,68–17,73 | 26,50 19,01–33,99 16,96–36,04 | 47% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,14 5,20–11,08 4,37–11,91 | 7,73 5,05–10,41 4,31–11,15 | 15,87 10,25–21,49 8,68–23,06 | 49% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,45 1,57–5,33 1,02–5,87 | 3,76 2,11–5,42 1,62–5,91 | 7,21 3,68–10,75 2,64–11,78 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Cornere | 5,02 2,80–7,23 2,23–7,81 | 4,78 2,78–6,78 2,25–7,32 | 9,80 5,59–14,02 4,48–15,12 | 46% 41% |
| Posesie % | 44,83 38,04–51,62 36,37–53,29 | 55,64 48,85–62,42 47,18–64,09 | — | 24% 72% |
| Pase | 372 305–439 287–457 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 821 688–955 652–991 | 26% 74% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,78 58,75–66,81 57,46–68,10 | 69,93 65,60–74,25 64,29–75,56 | — | 16% 80% |
| Faulturi | 12,73 9,90–15,57 9,14–16,33 | 12,67 9,72–15,61 8,97–16,36 | 25,40 19,62–31,18 18,11–32,69 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,11 0,95–3,27 0,65–3,57 | 1,92 0,83–3,02 0,54–3,30 | 4,03 1,78–6,28 1,19–6,87 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,04 0,99–3,09 0,72–3,35 | 2,31 1,18–3,44 0,89–3,73 | 4,35 2,17–6,53 1,62–7,09 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,75 1,31–4,18 0,92–4,57 | 2,69 1,13–4,24 0,71–4,67 | 5,43 2,44–8,42 1,63–9,24 | 42% 18% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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