La Liga·Etapa 32·
La Liga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
24%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,262,98sigur0,76–2,700,40–2,111,16–4,81mai sigur0,51–2,950,17–2,340,68–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,324,139,45sigur3,45–7,182,39–5,885,85–13,06mai sigur2,96–7,671,93–6,344,89–14,01
Total șuturi
70%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7811,6026,37sigur10,85–18,708,03–15,1618,89–33,86mai sigur9,76–19,797,07–16,1216,84–35,91
Șuturi din careu
64%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,867,8517,70sigur6,91–12,805,16–10,5312,08–23,32mai sigur6,08–13,634,43–11,2610,51–24,89
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,193,097,28sigur2,30–6,071,44–4,743,74–10,81mai sigur1,76–6,610,95–5,242,71–11,85
Cornere
56%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,534,5110,05sigur3,32–7,752,51–6,515,84–14,26mai sigur2,75–8,321,98–7,054,73–15,37
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,2046,20sigur47,41–60,9939,41–52,98mai sigur45,74–62,6637,74–54,65
Pase
78%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție538444981sigur471–605377–510848–1115mai sigur452–623360–528812–1151
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,9472,70sigur68,91–76,9768,38–77,03mai sigur67,62–78,2667,07–78,34
Faulturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5612,6423,20sigur7,72–13,399,70–15,5917,42–28,98mai sigur6,96–14,158,95–16,3415,91–30,49
Ofsaiduri
39%
18%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,482,595,07sigur1,32–3,641,50–3,682,81–7,32mai sigur1,02–3,941,21–3,972,22–7,91
Cartonașe galbene
25%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,273,77sigur0,45–2,551,14–3,401,59–5,95mai sigur0,19–2,820,85–3,691,03–6,50
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
29%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,773,676,44sigur1,34–4,212,11–5,223,45–9,43mai sigur0,95–4,601,69–5,652,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,73 0,76–2,70 0,51–2,95 | 1,26 0,40–2,11 0,17–2,34 | 2,98 1,16–4,81 0,68–5,29 | 49% 24% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,32 3,45–7,18 2,96–7,67 | 4,13 2,39–5,88 1,93–6,34 | 9,45 5,85–13,06 4,89–14,01 | 59% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,78 10,85–18,70 9,76–19,79 | 11,60 8,03–15,16 7,07–16,12 | 26,37 18,89–33,86 16,84–35,91 | 70% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,86 6,91–12,80 6,08–13,63 | 7,85 5,16–10,53 4,43–11,26 | 17,70 12,08–23,32 10,51–24,89 | 64% 27% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,19 2,30–6,07 1,76–6,61 | 3,09 1,44–4,74 0,95–5,24 | 7,28 3,74–10,81 2,71–11,85 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 5,53 3,32–7,75 2,75–8,32 | 4,51 2,51–6,51 1,98–7,05 | 10,05 5,84–14,26 4,73–15,37 | 56% 31% |
| Posesie % | 54,20 47,41–60,99 45,74–62,66 | 46,20 39,41–52,98 37,74–54,65 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 538 471–605 452–623 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 981 848–1115 812–1151 | 78% 21% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,94 68,91–76,97 67,62–78,26 | 72,70 68,38–77,03 67,07–78,34 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 10,56 7,72–13,39 6,96–14,15 | 12,64 9,70–15,59 8,95–16,34 | 23,20 17,42–28,98 15,91–30,49 | 30% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,48 1,32–3,64 1,02–3,94 | 2,59 1,50–3,68 1,21–3,97 | 5,07 2,81–7,32 2,22–7,91 | 39% 18% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,19–2,82 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,03–6,50 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,77 1,34–4,21 0,95–4,60 | 3,67 2,11–5,22 1,69–5,65 | 6,44 3,45–9,43 2,64–10,25 | 29% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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