La Liga·Etapa 32·
La Liga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
19%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,822,193,01sigur0,00–1,781,34–3,051,19–4,83mai sigur0,00–2,041,11–3,280,71–5,31
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,586,8310,41sigur1,71–5,445,09–8,586,80–14,01mai sigur1,22–5,934,62–9,045,85–14,97
Total șuturi
18%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1517,6730,83sigur9,23–17,0814,11–21,2423,34–38,31mai sigur8,13–18,1713,15–22,2021,29–40,36
Șuturi din careu
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,8912,0618,95sigur3,95–9,839,38–14,7413,32–24,57mai sigur3,12–10,668,64–15,4811,76–26,14
Șuturi blocate
23%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,475,128,60sigur1,59–5,363,47–6,785,06–12,14mai sigur1,05–5,902,98–7,274,03–13,17
Cornere
22%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,116,1110,22sigur1,90–6,334,11–8,116,01–14,44mai sigur1,33–6,903,57–8,644,90–15,54
Posesie %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție34,8464,74sigur28,05–41,6357,96–71,53mai sigur26,38–43,3056,29–73,20
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție328607935sigur261–396540–673801–1069mai sigur243–414523–691766–1104
Precizie pase %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,3377,66sigur58,30–66,3673,34–81,99mai sigur57,00–67,6572,03–83,30
Faulturi
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2611,2125,47sigur11,42–17,098,27–14,1619,68–31,25mai sigur10,66–17,857,52–14,9018,18–32,75
Ofsaiduri
37%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,683,29sigur0,44–2,760,59–2,771,03–5,54mai sigur0,14–3,070,30–3,060,44–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
56%
19%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,491,644,13sigur1,44–3,540,51–2,771,95–6,31mai sigur1,18–3,810,22–3,061,40–6,87
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,090,23sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,280,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,410,00–0,86
Parade portar
66%
13%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,142,556,70sigur2,71–5,581,00–4,113,71–9,69mai sigur2,32–5,970,57–4,532,89–10,50
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,82 0,00–1,78 0,00–2,04 | 2,19 1,34–3,05 1,11–3,28 | 3,01 1,19–4,83 0,71–5,31 | 19% 69% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,58 1,71–5,44 1,22–5,93 | 6,83 5,09–8,58 4,62–9,04 | 10,41 6,80–14,01 5,85–14,97 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 13,15 9,23–17,08 8,13–18,17 | 17,67 14,11–21,24 13,15–22,20 | 30,83 23,34–38,31 21,29–40,36 | 18% 77% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,89 3,95–9,83 3,12–10,66 | 12,06 9,38–14,74 8,64–15,48 | 18,95 13,32–24,57 11,76–26,14 | 86% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,47 1,59–5,36 1,05–5,90 | 5,12 3,47–6,78 2,98–7,27 | 8,60 5,06–12,14 4,03–13,17 | 23% 65% |
| Cornere | 4,11 1,90–6,33 1,33–6,90 | 6,11 4,11–8,11 3,57–8,64 | 10,22 6,01–14,44 4,90–15,54 | 22% 68% |
| Posesie % | 34,84 28,05–41,63 26,38–43,30 | 64,74 57,96–71,53 56,29–73,20 | — | 96% |
| Pase | 328 261–396 243–414 | 607 540–673 523–691 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,33 58,30–66,36 57,00–67,65 | 77,66 73,34–81,99 72,03–83,30 | — | 97% |
| Faulturi | 14,26 11,42–17,09 10,66–17,85 | 11,21 8,27–14,16 7,52–14,90 | 25,47 19,68–31,25 18,18–32,75 | 69% 24% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,07 | 1,68 0,59–2,77 0,30–3,06 | 3,29 1,03–5,54 0,44–6,13 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,49 1,44–3,54 1,18–3,81 | 1,64 0,51–2,77 0,22–3,06 | 4,13 1,95–6,31 1,40–6,87 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 4,14 2,71–5,58 2,32–5,97 | 2,55 1,00–4,11 0,57–4,53 | 6,70 3,71–9,69 2,89–10,50 | 66% 13% 21% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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