La Liga·Etapa 32·
La Liga·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
63%
19%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,143,41sigur1,31–3,240,28–1,991,59–5,24mai sigur1,06–3,500,06–2,221,11–5,72
Șuturi pe poartă
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,403,6710,07sigur4,54–8,261,93–5,426,47–13,68mai sigur4,05–8,751,47–5,885,51–14,63
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,3910,0028,39sigur14,46–22,316,44–13,5620,90–35,87mai sigur13,37–23,405,48–14,5218,85–37,93
Șuturi din careu
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,587,1518,73sigur8,64–14,534,47–9,8313,11–24,35mai sigur7,81–15,353,73–10,5711,54–25,92
Șuturi blocate
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,842,447,28sigur2,96–6,720,79–4,093,74–10,81mai sigur2,41–7,260,29–4,582,71–11,85
Cornere
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,003,6910,69sigur4,79–9,221,69–5,696,47–14,90mai sigur4,22–9,791,15–6,225,37–16,01
Posesie %
74%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,8344,08sigur49,04–62,6237,30–50,87mai sigur47,37–64,2935,62–52,54
Pase
84%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție543421964sigur475–610355–488830–1098mai sigur457–628337–505795–1133
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,4969,19sigur63,46–71,5264,87–73,52mai sigur62,17–72,8163,56–74,83
Faulturi
47%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5411,3522,88sigur8,70–14,378,40–14,2917,10–28,67mai sigur7,94–15,137,65–15,0415,60–30,17
Ofsaiduri
49%
19%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,572,084,65sigur1,41–3,730,99–3,172,40–6,90mai sigur1,11–4,030,70–3,461,81–7,49
Cartonașe galbene
27%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,392,013,39sigur0,34–2,440,88–3,131,21–5,57mai sigur0,07–2,700,59–3,430,66–6,13
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
18%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,304,066,36sigur0,86–3,742,50–5,613,37–9,35mai sigur0,48–4,122,08–6,042,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,28 1,31–3,24 1,06–3,50 | 1,14 0,28–1,99 0,06–2,22 | 3,41 1,59–5,24 1,11–5,72 | 63% 19% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,40 4,54–8,26 4,05–8,75 | 3,67 1,93–5,42 1,47–5,88 | 10,07 6,47–13,68 5,51–14,63 | 76% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 18,39 14,46–22,31 13,37–23,40 | 10,00 6,44–13,56 5,48–14,52 | 28,39 20,90–35,87 18,85–37,93 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,58 8,64–14,53 7,81–15,35 | 7,15 4,47–9,83 3,73–10,57 | 18,73 13,11–24,35 11,54–25,92 | 82% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,84 2,96–6,72 2,41–7,26 | 2,44 0,79–4,09 0,29–4,58 | 7,28 3,74–10,81 2,71–11,85 | 76% 14% |
| Cornere | 7,00 4,79–9,22 4,22–9,79 | 3,69 1,69–5,69 1,15–6,22 | 10,69 6,47–14,90 5,37–16,01 | 81% |
| Posesie % | 55,83 49,04–62,62 47,37–64,29 | 44,08 37,30–50,87 35,62–52,54 | — | 74% 23% |
| Pase | 543 475–610 457–628 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 964 830–1098 795–1133 | 84% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,49 63,46–71,52 62,17–72,81 | 69,19 64,87–73,52 63,56–74,83 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 11,54 8,70–14,37 7,94–15,13 | 11,35 8,40–14,29 7,65–15,04 | 22,88 17,10–28,67 15,60–30,17 | 47% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,57 1,41–3,73 1,11–4,03 | 2,08 0,99–3,17 0,70–3,46 | 4,65 2,40–6,90 1,81–7,49 | 49% 19% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,39 0,34–2,44 0,07–2,70 | 2,01 0,88–3,13 0,59–3,43 | 3,39 1,21–5,57 0,66–6,13 | 27% 22% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,30 0,86–3,74 0,48–4,12 | 4,06 2,50–5,61 2,08–6,04 | 6,36 3,37–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 18% 69% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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