La Liga·Etapa 33·
La Liga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
26%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,392,71sigur0,36–2,290,53–2,240,89–4,53mai sigur0,11–2,540,30–2,470,41–5,01
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,474,308,77sigur2,60–6,332,56–6,045,16–12,37mai sigur2,11–6,822,09–6,514,21–13,33
Total șuturi
60%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5112,6827,19sigur10,58–18,439,12–16,2519,71–34,68mai sigur9,49–19,528,16–17,2117,65–36,73
Șuturi din careu
60%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,618,0417,65sigur6,67–12,555,36–10,7212,03–23,27mai sigur5,84–13,384,62–11,4610,46–24,84
Șuturi blocate
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,083,958,03sigur2,20–5,972,29–5,604,50–11,57mai sigur1,66–6,511,80–6,093,46–12,60
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,444,6210,06sigur3,23–7,652,62–6,625,85–14,28mai sigur2,65–8,232,09–7,154,74–15,38
Posesie %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,2852,45sigur41,49–55,0745,66–59,23mai sigur39,82–56,7443,99–60,90
Pase
50%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție418418836sigur351–485352–484703–970mai sigur333–504334–502667–1006
Precizie pase %
16%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,6369,72sigur58,60–66,6665,40–74,05mai sigur57,31–67,9664,09–75,36
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6912,1624,84sigur9,85–15,529,21–15,1019,06–30,63mai sigur9,09–16,288,46–15,8517,56–32,13
Ofsaiduri
52%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,021,383,41sigur0,86–3,180,29–2,481,16–5,66mai sigur0,56–3,490,00–2,770,57–6,25
Cartonașe galbene
38%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,962,023,98sigur0,91–3,010,90–3,151,81–6,16mai sigur0,64–3,270,60–3,441,25–6,72
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
38%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,993,216,20sigur1,55–4,421,66–4,773,21–9,19mai sigur1,16–4,811,23–5,192,39–10,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,29 0,11–2,54 | 1,39 0,53–2,24 0,30–2,47 | 2,71 0,89–4,53 0,41–5,01 | 36% 26% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,47 2,60–6,33 2,11–6,82 | 4,30 2,56–6,04 2,09–6,51 | 8,77 5,16–12,37 4,21–13,33 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 14,51 10,58–18,43 9,49–19,52 | 12,68 9,12–16,25 8,16–17,21 | 27,19 19,71–34,68 17,65–36,73 | 60% 33% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,61 6,67–12,55 5,84–13,38 | 8,04 5,36–10,72 4,62–11,46 | 17,65 12,03–23,27 10,46–24,84 | 60% 31% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,08 2,20–5,97 1,66–6,51 | 3,95 2,29–5,60 1,80–6,09 | 8,03 4,50–11,57 3,46–12,60 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,44 3,23–7,65 2,65–8,23 | 4,62 2,62–6,62 2,09–7,15 | 10,06 5,85–14,28 4,74–15,38 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 48,28 41,49–55,07 39,82–56,74 | 52,45 45,66–59,23 43,99–60,90 | — | 38% 57% |
| Pase | 418 351–485 333–504 | 418 352–484 334–502 | 836 703–970 667–1006 | 50% 50% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,63 58,60–66,66 57,31–67,96 | 69,72 65,40–74,05 64,09–75,36 | — | 16% 80% |
| Faulturi | 12,69 9,85–15,52 9,09–16,28 | 12,16 9,21–15,10 8,46–15,85 | 24,84 19,06–30,63 17,56–32,13 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,02 0,86–3,18 0,56–3,49 | 1,38 0,29–2,48 0,00–2,77 | 3,41 1,16–5,66 0,57–6,25 | 52% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,64–3,27 | 2,02 0,90–3,15 0,60–3,44 | 3,98 1,81–6,16 1,25–6,72 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,99 1,55–4,42 1,16–4,81 | 3,21 1,66–4,77 1,23–5,19 | 6,20 3,21–9,19 2,39–10,00 | 38% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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