La Liga·Etapa 33·
La Liga·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
24%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,181,652,83sigur0,22–2,150,79–2,501,01–4,66mai sigur0,00–2,400,57–2,730,53–5,14
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
14%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,224,598,81sigur2,36–6,092,85–6,335,21–12,42mai sigur1,87–6,572,38–6,804,25–13,37
Total șuturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3613,2725,63sigur8,43–16,289,71–16,8318,14–33,12mai sigur7,34–17,388,75–17,7916,09–35,17
Șuturi din careu
29%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,599,3316,92sigur4,65–10,546,65–12,0111,30–22,54mai sigur3,82–11,365,91–12,759,73–24,11
Șuturi blocate
32%
14%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,374,187,55sigur1,49–5,262,52–5,834,01–11,09mai sigur0,95–5,802,03–6,322,98–12,12
Cornere
38%
13%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,514,969,47sigur2,30–6,732,96–6,965,26–13,69mai sigur1,73–7,302,43–7,494,15–14,80
Posesie %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,2950,97sigur43,50–57,0844,18–57,75mai sigur41,83–58,7542,51–59,42
Pase
54%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție500486985sigur432–567419–552852–1119mai sigur414–585402–570816–1155
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,6675,75sigur68,63–76,6971,43–80,08mai sigur67,33–77,9870,12–81,39
Faulturi
46%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7511,6923,45sigur8,92–14,598,75–14,6417,66–29,23mai sigur8,16–15,358,00–15,3816,16–30,73
Ofsaiduri
42%
22%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,801,663,46sigur0,64–2,960,56–2,751,20–5,71mai sigur0,34–3,260,27–3,040,61–6,30
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,942,214,15sigur0,89–2,991,08–3,341,97–6,33mai sigur0,63–3,260,79–3,631,42–6,89
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
46%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,092,815,90sigur1,65–4,531,26–4,372,91–8,90mai sigur1,27–4,910,83–4,802,10–9,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,18 0,22–2,15 0,00–2,40 | 1,65 0,79–2,50 0,57–2,73 | 2,83 1,01–4,66 0,53–5,14 | 27% 24% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,22 2,36–6,09 1,87–6,57 | 4,59 2,85–6,33 2,38–6,80 | 8,81 5,21–12,42 4,25–13,37 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 12,36 8,43–16,28 7,34–17,38 | 13,27 9,71–16,83 8,75–17,79 | 25,63 18,14–33,12 16,09–35,17 | 39% 53% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,59 4,65–10,54 3,82–11,36 | 9,33 6,65–12,01 5,91–12,75 | 16,92 11,30–22,54 9,73–24,11 | 29% 62% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,37 1,49–5,26 0,95–5,80 | 4,18 2,52–5,83 2,03–6,32 | 7,55 4,01–11,09 2,98–12,12 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Cornere | 4,51 2,30–6,73 1,73–7,30 | 4,96 2,96–6,96 2,43–7,49 | 9,47 5,26–13,69 4,15–14,80 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Posesie % | 50,29 43,50–57,08 41,83–58,75 | 50,97 44,18–57,75 42,51–59,42 | — | 46% 49% |
| Pase | 500 432–567 414–585 | 486 419–552 402–570 | 985 852–1119 816–1155 | 54% 45% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,66 68,63–76,69 67,33–77,98 | 75,75 71,43–80,08 70,12–81,39 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 11,75 8,92–14,59 8,16–15,35 | 11,69 8,75–14,64 8,00–15,38 | 23,45 17,66–29,23 16,16–30,73 | 46% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,80 0,64–2,96 0,34–3,26 | 1,66 0,56–2,75 0,27–3,04 | 3,46 1,20–5,71 0,61–6,30 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,94 0,89–2,99 0,63–3,26 | 2,21 1,08–3,34 0,79–3,63 | 4,15 1,97–6,33 1,42–6,89 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,09 1,65–4,53 1,27–4,91 | 2,81 1,26–4,37 0,83–4,80 | 5,90 2,91–8,90 2,10–9,71 | 46% 17% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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