La Liga·Etapa 34·
La Liga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
17%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,451,013,46sigur1,48–3,420,16–1,871,64–5,28mai sigur1,23–3,670,00–2,091,16–5,76
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,113,2510,36sigur5,25–8,971,51–4,996,76–13,97mai sigur4,76–9,461,04–5,465,80–14,92
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,299,0528,34sigur15,37–23,225,49–12,6120,85–35,83mai sigur14,27–24,314,53–13,5718,80–37,88
Șuturi din careu
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,036,1119,15sigur10,09–15,973,43–8,8013,52–24,77mai sigur9,26–16,802,70–9,5311,96–26,34
Șuturi blocate
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,782,157,93sigur3,90–7,660,50–3,804,39–11,46mai sigur3,35–8,210,00–4,293,36–12,50
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,503,7110,20sigur4,28–8,711,71–5,715,99–14,42mai sigur3,71–9,281,17–6,244,88–15,52
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,0638,61sigur54,27–67,8531,83–45,40mai sigur52,60–69,5230,16–47,07
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție616366982sigur549–683299–432848–1115mai sigur531–701282–449812–1151
Precizie pase %
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,6168,28sigur72,58–80,6463,96–72,60mai sigur71,29–81,9362,65–73,91
Faulturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6812,1021,78sigur6,84–12,529,15–15,0416,00–27,56mai sigur6,09–13,278,41–15,7914,49–29,06
Ofsaiduri
30%
19%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,504,41sigur0,75–3,071,40–3,592,15–6,66mai sigur0,45–3,371,12–3,881,56–7,25
Cartonașe galbene
20%
19%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,262,303,57sigur0,21–2,311,17–3,431,39–5,74mai sigur0,00–2,580,88–3,720,83–6,30
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,300,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,214,797,00sigur0,77–3,653,24–6,354,01–10,00mai sigur0,39–4,032,81–6,773,20–10,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,45 1,48–3,42 1,23–3,67 | 1,01 0,16–1,87 0,00–2,09 | 3,46 1,64–5,28 1,16–5,76 | 69% 17% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,11 5,25–8,97 4,76–9,46 | 3,25 1,51–4,99 1,04–5,46 | 10,36 6,76–13,97 5,80–14,92 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 19,29 15,37–23,22 14,27–24,31 | 9,05 5,49–12,61 4,53–13,57 | 28,34 20,85–35,83 18,80–37,88 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,03 10,09–15,97 9,26–16,80 | 6,11 3,43–8,80 2,70–9,53 | 19,15 13,52–24,77 11,96–26,34 | 93% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,78 3,90–7,66 3,35–8,21 | 2,15 0,50–3,80 0,00–4,29 | 7,93 4,39–11,46 3,36–12,50 | 87% |
| Cornere | 6,50 4,28–8,71 3,71–9,28 | 3,71 1,71–5,71 1,17–6,24 | 10,20 5,99–14,42 4,88–15,52 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 61,06 54,27–67,85 52,60–69,52 | 38,61 31,83–45,40 30,16–47,07 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 616 549–683 531–701 | 366 299–432 282–449 | 982 848–1115 812–1151 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,61 72,58–80,64 71,29–81,93 | 68,28 63,96–72,60 62,65–73,91 | — | 84% |
| Faulturi | 9,68 6,84–12,52 6,09–13,27 | 12,10 9,15–15,04 8,41–15,79 | 21,78 16,00–27,56 14,49–29,06 | 27% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,91 0,75–3,07 0,45–3,37 | 2,50 1,40–3,59 1,12–3,88 | 4,41 2,15–6,66 1,56–7,25 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,26 0,21–2,31 0,00–2,58 | 2,30 1,17–3,43 0,88–3,72 | 3,57 1,39–5,74 0,83–6,30 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,21 0,77–3,65 0,39–4,03 | 4,79 3,24–6,35 2,81–6,77 | 7,00 4,01–10,00 3,20–10,81 | 79% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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