La Liga·Etapa 34·
La Liga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
23%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,263,14sigur0,91–2,840,41–2,121,31–4,96mai sigur0,65–3,090,18–2,350,83–5,44
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,333,618,94sigur3,47–7,191,86–5,355,33–12,54mai sigur2,98–7,681,40–5,814,38–13,50
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8710,2526,12sigur11,94–19,796,69–13,8218,63–33,61mai sigur10,85–20,885,73–14,7816,58–35,66
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,226,4416,66sigur7,28–13,163,76–9,1211,04–22,29mai sigur6,45–13,993,02–9,869,47–23,85
Șuturi blocate
69%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,142,346,49sigur2,26–6,030,69–4,002,95–10,02mai sigur1,72–6,570,20–4,491,92–11,06
Cornere
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,413,8710,28sigur4,19–8,621,87–5,876,06–14,49mai sigur3,62–9,191,34–6,404,96–15,60
Posesie %
65%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,2745,85sigur46,48–60,0639,07–52,64mai sigur44,81–61,7337,39–54,31
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție526448973sigur458–593381–514839–1107mai sigur440–611364–532804–1143
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,5571,36sigur68,52–76,5767,04–75,69mai sigur67,22–77,8765,73–77,00
Faulturi
45%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9211,9823,90sigur9,08–14,759,03–14,9218,11–29,68mai sigur8,32–15,518,29–15,6716,61–31,18
Ofsaiduri
60%
18%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,531,524,05sigur1,37–3,690,42–2,611,80–6,31mai sigur1,07–3,990,14–2,901,21–6,89
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,572,023,60sigur0,52–2,620,89–3,151,42–5,77mai sigur0,26–2,890,60–3,440,86–6,33
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,533,375,90sigur1,10–3,971,81–4,922,91–8,89mai sigur0,71–4,361,39–5,352,10–9,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,87 0,91–2,84 0,65–3,09 | 1,26 0,41–2,12 0,18–2,35 | 3,14 1,31–4,96 0,83–5,44 | 52% 23% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,33 3,47–7,19 2,98–7,68 | 3,61 1,86–5,35 1,40–5,81 | 8,94 5,33–12,54 4,38–13,50 | 66% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 15,87 11,94–19,79 10,85–20,88 | 10,25 6,69–13,82 5,73–14,78 | 26,12 18,63–33,61 16,58–35,66 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,22 7,28–13,16 6,45–13,99 | 6,44 3,76–9,12 3,02–9,86 | 16,66 11,04–22,29 9,47–23,85 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,14 2,26–6,03 1,72–6,57 | 2,34 0,69–4,00 0,20–4,49 | 6,49 2,95–10,02 1,92–11,06 | 69% 18% |
| Cornere | 6,41 4,19–8,62 3,62–9,19 | 3,87 1,87–5,87 1,34–6,40 | 10,28 6,06–14,49 4,96–15,60 | 74% 17% |
| Posesie % | 53,27 46,48–60,06 44,81–61,73 | 45,85 39,07–52,64 37,39–54,31 | — | 65% 31% |
| Pase | 526 458–593 440–611 | 448 381–514 364–532 | 973 839–1107 804–1143 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,55 68,52–76,57 67,22–77,87 | 71,36 67,04–75,69 65,73–77,00 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 11,92 9,08–14,75 8,32–15,51 | 11,98 9,03–14,92 8,29–15,67 | 23,90 18,11–29,68 16,61–31,18 | 45% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,53 1,37–3,69 1,07–3,99 | 1,52 0,42–2,61 0,14–2,90 | 4,05 1,80–6,31 1,21–6,89 | 60% 18% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,57 0,52–2,62 0,26–2,89 | 2,02 0,89–3,15 0,60–3,44 | 3,60 1,42–5,77 0,86–6,33 | 30% 21% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,53 1,10–3,97 0,71–4,36 | 3,37 1,81–4,92 1,39–5,35 | 5,90 2,91–8,89 2,10–9,71 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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