La Liga·Etapa 34·
La Liga·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,301,753,05sigur0,33–2,270,90–2,611,23–4,87mai sigur0,08–2,520,67–2,830,75–5,35
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,315,119,42sigur2,45–6,173,37–6,855,81–13,02mai sigur1,96–6,662,90–7,324,86–13,98
Total șuturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6514,4528,11sigur9,73–17,5810,89–18,0220,62–35,60mai sigur8,64–18,679,93–18,9818,57–37,65
Șuturi din careu
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,729,8018,52sigur5,78–11,677,12–12,4812,90–24,15mai sigur4,95–12,506,38–13,2211,33–25,71
Șuturi blocate
43%
14%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,214,218,41sigur2,33–6,092,55–5,864,88–11,95mai sigur1,78–6,632,06–6,353,84–12,99
Cornere
38%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,905,3610,26sigur2,69–7,123,36–7,366,05–14,47mai sigur2,12–7,692,82–7,894,94–15,58
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,3555,12sigur39,56–53,1448,33–61,90mai sigur37,89–54,8146,66–63,57
Pase
27%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție433505938sigur366–500439–572805–1072mai sigur347–518421–589769–1108
Precizie pase %
13%
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,6774,81sigur62,64–70,7070,48–79,13mai sigur61,35–71,9969,17–80,44
Faulturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6811,7624,43sigur9,84–15,518,81–14,7018,65–30,21mai sigur9,08–16,278,06–15,4517,15–31,72
Ofsaiduri
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,973,57sigur0,44–2,770,87–3,061,32–5,82mai sigur0,14–3,070,58–3,350,73–6,41
Cartonașe galbene
43%
20%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,121,984,11sigur1,08–3,170,85–3,111,93–6,29mai sigur0,81–3,440,56–3,401,37–6,84
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,100,22sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,290,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,420,00–0,85
Parade portar
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,412,896,30sigur1,98–4,851,33–4,443,31–9,29mai sigur1,59–5,240,91–4,872,50–10,11
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,30 0,33–2,27 0,08–2,52 | 1,75 0,90–2,61 0,67–2,83 | 3,05 1,23–4,87 0,75–5,35 | 28% 23% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,31 2,45–6,17 1,96–6,66 | 5,11 3,37–6,85 2,90–7,32 | 9,42 5,81–13,02 4,86–13,98 | 33% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 13,65 9,73–17,58 8,64–18,67 | 14,45 10,89–18,02 9,93–18,98 | 28,11 20,62–35,60 18,57–37,65 | 40% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,72 5,78–11,67 4,95–12,50 | 9,80 7,12–12,48 6,38–13,22 | 18,52 12,90–24,15 11,33–25,71 | 36% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,21 2,33–6,09 1,78–6,63 | 4,21 2,55–5,86 2,06–6,35 | 8,41 4,88–11,95 3,84–12,99 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,90 2,69–7,12 2,12–7,69 | 5,36 3,36–7,36 2,82–7,89 | 10,26 6,05–14,47 4,94–15,58 | 38% 49% |
| Posesie % | 46,35 39,56–53,14 37,89–54,81 | 55,12 48,33–61,90 46,66–63,57 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 433 366–500 347–518 | 505 439–572 421–589 | 938 805–1072 769–1108 | 27% 73% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,67 62,64–70,70 61,35–71,99 | 74,81 70,48–79,13 69,17–80,44 | — | 13% 84% |
| Faulturi | 12,68 9,84–15,51 9,08–16,27 | 11,76 8,81–14,70 8,06–15,45 | 24,43 18,65–30,21 17,15–31,72 | 53% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,77 0,14–3,07 | 1,97 0,87–3,06 0,58–3,35 | 3,57 1,32–5,82 0,73–6,41 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,12 1,08–3,17 0,81–3,44 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 4,11 1,93–6,29 1,37–6,84 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,41 1,98–4,85 1,59–5,24 | 2,89 1,33–4,44 0,91–4,87 | 6,30 3,31–9,29 2,50–10,11 | 50% 16% 34% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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