La Liga·Etapa 35·
La Liga·Etapa 35·Statistici estimate
Goluri
72%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,400,833,23sigur1,43–3,370,00–1,681,41–5,05mai sigur1,18–3,620,00–1,910,93–5,53
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,793,039,83sigur4,93–8,661,29–4,776,22–13,43mai sigur4,44–9,150,82–5,245,27–14,39
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,659,3528,00sigur14,72–22,575,79–12,9220,51–35,49mai sigur13,63–23,664,83–13,8818,46–37,54
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,905,5218,42sigur9,96–15,842,84–8,2012,80–24,05mai sigur9,13–16,672,11–8,9411,23–25,61
Șuturi blocate
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,852,106,95sigur2,97–6,730,45–3,763,42–10,49mai sigur2,43–7,280,00–4,252,38–11,52
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,033,4710,50sigur4,82–9,241,47–5,476,29–14,71mai sigur4,24–9,820,94–6,015,18–15,82
Posesie %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,8840,75sigur53,09–66,6733,96–47,53mai sigur51,42–68,3432,29–49,20
Pase
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție572394966sigur505–639328–461833–1100mai sigur487–657310–478797–1136
Precizie pase %
72%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,3570,22sigur71,32–79,3865,90–74,54mai sigur70,03–80,6764,59–75,85
Faulturi
34%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6712,0722,74sigur7,83–13,519,12–15,0116,96–28,52mai sigur7,08–14,268,37–15,7615,45–30,03
Ofsaiduri
27%
18%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,972,774,75sigur0,81–3,131,68–3,872,49–7,00mai sigur0,51–3,431,39–4,161,90–7,59
Cartonașe galbene
24%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,342,073,41sigur0,29–2,390,94–3,201,23–5,59mai sigur0,02–2,650,65–3,490,67–6,15
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
16%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,264,236,49sigur0,82–3,702,68–5,793,50–9,49mai sigur0,44–4,082,25–6,222,69–10,30
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,40 1,43–3,37 1,18–3,62 | 0,83 0,00–1,68 0,00–1,91 | 3,23 1,41–5,05 0,93–5,53 | 72% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,79 4,93–8,66 4,44–9,15 | 3,03 1,29–4,77 0,82–5,24 | 9,83 6,22–13,43 5,27–14,39 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 18,65 14,72–22,57 13,63–23,66 | 9,35 5,79–12,92 4,83–13,88 | 28,00 20,51–35,49 18,46–37,54 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,90 9,96–15,84 9,13–16,67 | 5,52 2,84–8,20 2,11–8,94 | 18,42 12,80–24,05 11,23–25,61 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,85 2,97–6,73 2,43–7,28 | 2,10 0,45–3,76 0,00–4,25 | 6,95 3,42–10,49 2,38–11,52 | 81% |
| Cornere | 7,03 4,82–9,24 4,24–9,82 | 3,47 1,47–5,47 0,94–6,01 | 10,50 6,29–14,71 5,18–15,82 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 59,88 53,09–66,67 51,42–68,34 | 40,75 33,96–47,53 32,29–49,20 | — | 86% |
| Pase | 572 505–639 487–657 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 93% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,35 71,32–79,38 70,03–80,67 | 70,22 65,90–74,54 64,59–75,85 | — | 72% 23% |
| Faulturi | 10,67 7,83–13,51 7,08–14,26 | 12,07 9,12–15,01 8,37–15,76 | 22,74 16,96–28,52 15,45–30,03 | 34% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,51–3,43 | 2,77 1,68–3,87 1,39–4,16 | 4,75 2,49–7,00 1,90–7,59 | 27% 18% 55% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,34 0,29–2,39 0,02–2,65 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 3,41 1,23–5,59 0,67–6,15 | 24% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,26 0,82–3,70 0,44–4,08 | 4,23 2,68–5,79 2,25–6,22 | 6,49 3,50–9,49 2,69–10,30 | 16% 72% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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