La Liga·Etapa 36·
La Liga·Etapa 36·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
21%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,000,952,94sigur1,03–2,960,09–1,801,12–4,77mai sigur0,78–3,210,00–2,030,64–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,093,399,48sigur4,23–7,951,65–5,135,88–13,09mai sigur3,74–8,441,18–5,604,92–14,04
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,7010,2427,94sigur13,78–21,636,67–13,8020,45–35,43mai sigur12,69–22,725,71–14,7618,40–37,48
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,976,1418,12sigur9,03–14,923,46–8,8212,50–23,74mai sigur8,20–15,752,73–9,5610,93–25,31
Șuturi blocate
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,092,637,72sigur3,21–6,970,98–4,284,18–11,25mai sigur2,66–7,510,49–4,783,15–12,29
Cornere
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,193,7910,99sigur4,98–9,411,79–5,796,77–15,20mai sigur4,40–9,981,26–6,335,67–16,31
Posesie %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,8040,33sigur53,01–66,5933,55–47,12mai sigur51,34–68,2631,88–48,79
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție566365932sigur499–634299–432798–1065mai sigur481–652281–449762–1101
Precizie pase %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,4068,74sigur71,38–79,4364,42–73,07mai sigur70,08–80,7363,11–74,38
Faulturi
34%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1711,5421,71sigur7,33–13,008,60–14,4915,93–27,49mai sigur6,57–13,767,85–15,2314,42–28,99
Ofsaiduri
55%
21%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,131,363,49sigur0,97–3,290,27–2,451,24–5,74mai sigur0,67–3,590,00–2,740,65–6,33
Cartonașe galbene
25%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,392,133,52sigur0,34–2,441,00–3,261,35–5,70mai sigur0,08–2,710,71–3,550,79–6,26
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
16%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,124,026,14sigur0,68–3,552,46–5,573,14–9,13mai sigur0,29–3,942,04–6,002,33–9,94
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,00 1,03–2,96 0,78–3,21 | 0,95 0,09–1,80 0,00–2,03 | 2,94 1,12–4,77 0,64–5,25 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,09 4,23–7,95 3,74–8,44 | 3,39 1,65–5,13 1,18–5,60 | 9,48 5,88–13,09 4,92–14,04 | 76% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 17,70 13,78–21,63 12,69–22,72 | 10,24 6,67–13,80 5,71–14,76 | 27,94 20,45–35,43 18,40–37,48 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,97 9,03–14,92 8,20–15,75 | 6,14 3,46–8,82 2,73–9,56 | 18,12 12,50–23,74 10,93–25,31 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,09 3,21–6,97 2,66–7,51 | 2,63 0,98–4,28 0,49–4,78 | 7,72 4,18–11,25 3,15–12,29 | 76% 14% |
| Cornere | 7,19 4,98–9,41 4,40–9,98 | 3,79 1,79–5,79 1,26–6,33 | 10,99 6,77–15,20 5,67–16,31 | 81% |
| Posesie % | 59,80 53,01–66,59 51,34–68,26 | 40,33 33,55–47,12 31,88–48,79 | — | 86% |
| Pase | 566 499–634 481–652 | 365 299–432 281–449 | 932 798–1065 762–1101 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,40 71,38–79,43 70,08–80,73 | 68,74 64,42–73,07 63,11–74,38 | — | 79% 18% |
| Faulturi | 10,17 7,33–13,00 6,57–13,76 | 11,54 8,60–14,49 7,85–15,23 | 21,71 15,93–27,49 14,42–28,99 | 34% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,13 0,97–3,29 0,67–3,59 | 1,36 0,27–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 3,49 1,24–5,74 0,65–6,33 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,39 0,34–2,44 0,08–2,71 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,52 1,35–5,70 0,79–6,26 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,12 0,68–3,55 0,29–3,94 | 4,02 2,46–5,57 2,04–6,00 | 6,14 3,14–9,13 2,33–9,94 | 16% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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